I started looking into Bitcoin since 2019 and observing market since then. Here I will express my views on Bitcoin based on my prior experience. Any view should not be considered as a financial advice.

21million

Prasad GI

marcos carneiro

Himanshu Yadav

Rajesh Parve

Suri Suresh

Gourab Mitra

Atul Gupta

Sushil Desale

Brahmabrata

A prominent market commentator has projected that the Bitcoin price could 
climb as high as $500,000, citing the reappearance of a long-observed moving 
average ribbon pattern on the monthly chart. The forecast, shared by Egrag 
Crypto on X, ties price structure to specific time windows in 2026 and 2028, 
arguing that technical alignment is outweighing short-term market 
narratives.pl Bitcoin Price Ribbon Setup Signals Expansion Phase At the center 
of the $500,000 prediction is the reformation of a multi-layer moving average 
ribbon on the one-month timeframe. The chart provided by the analyst shows the 
33 EMA, 66 MA, 80 EMA, and 100 EMA compressing and beginning to expand in a 
configuration that has historically marked major cycle transitions. Related 
Reading: Pundit Gives Reasons Why XRP Price Will Hit $10 In 2026 This 
structure is not presented in isolation. In previous cycles, similar ribbon 
compressions were followed by decisive impulsive advances. The analyst points 
to an earlier period on the chart when the price consolidated within the 
ribbon before accelerating sharply upward, forming a pattern that now appears 
to be repeating. Because this setup mirrors prior cycle behavior, he 
characterizes it as a fractal, indicating structural similarity across 
different market phases. The ribbon’s position relative to current price 
action reinforces the broader thesis. Bitcoin remains structurally above the 
layered averages, a condition that in earlier cycles preceded sustained upside 
rather than distribution. When price reclaimed and held above this cluster in 
the past, expansion phases followed. Based on those historical expansion 
multiples, the analyst outlines an intermediate target near $150,000 and 
extends the upper boundary of the move toward $500,000. This framework 
deliberately shifts focus away from sentiment-driven fluctuations. Instead, 
the moving averages are treated as objective markers of where Bitcoin stands 
within its long-term cycle, forming the analytical foundation for the half- 
million-dollar projection. Timing Window Points To 2026 And Late 2028 
Alignment Building on the structural case, the forecast also incorporates a 
defined timeline. The chart highlights October 2026 as a key waypoint, 
aligning with a potential continuation phase if the emerging ribbon fractal 
develops in line with historical precedent. Beyond that initial window, a 
second period is identified around the end of the third quarter or the 
beginning of the fourth quarter of 2028. The analyst references election 
cycles as a contextual factor, suggesting that macro narrative and technical 
structure could converge during that timeframe. Related Reading: The Multi- 
Year XRP Bull Market That Could Change Everything Forever The projected path 
on the chart reflects this staged process. Rather than a single vertical 
surge, it outlines a series of consolidations followed by accelerations, 
echoing previous cycles before peak expansion. By integrating price structure 
with calendar timing, the projection frames the $500,000 target as the 
culmination of a repeatable cyclical pattern. In this context, the ribbon 
fractal is positioned not as speculative optimism, but as the structural 
roadmap underpinning the analyst’s expectation of a potential surge toward 
half a million dollars. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from 
Tradingview.com

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