I started looking into Bitcoin since 2019 and observing market since then. Here I will express my views on Bitcoin based on my prior experience. Any view should not be considered as a financial advice.

21million

Suri Suresh

Rajnee Saxena

kiran kurpad

Prasad GI

marcos carneiro

Himanshu Yadav

Rajesh Parve

Gourab Mitra

Atul Gupta

Arthur Hayes was wrong before. In December, the BitMEX co-founder predicted 
Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by March 2026. It didn&#8217;t. Bitcoin is trading near 
$71,000. Hayes is now calling for $500,000 to $750,000 by the end of the year, 
and his reasoning runs straight through the Middle East. Related Reading: 
Iran’s Crypto Market Shaken As Outflows Skyrocket 700% War, Spending, And The 
Fed Hayes argues that a prolonged US military conflict involving Iran would 
put severe pressure on federal finances. As government spending climbs, he 
believes policymakers would face little choice but to cut interest rates and 
pump more money into the financial system. That combination — loose monetary 
policy and expanding liquidity — is what he thinks sends Bitcoin sharply 
higher. The argument is grounded in history, at least partially. During the 
1990 Gulf War, Federal Open Market Committee members openly cited Middle East 
instability as a factor in their deliberations. Crypto billionaire Arthur 
Hayes is predicting a $500k &#8211; $750k Bitcoin by end of 2026??? Trump admin + 
Iran conflict + Fed easing = 💸💥 He explains: pic.twitter.com/AU23sd216a — 
Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) March 2, 2026 By late 1990, the Fed had cut 
rates as economic confidence dropped. After the September 11 attacks in 2001, 
then-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan pushed for an emergency 50-basis-point cut, 
which was implemented almost immediately. Markets steadied shortly after. 
Hayes draws a direct line from those episodes to what he sees unfolding now. 
Large military operations cost hundreds of billions. Fiscal pressure builds. 
The Fed eventually eases. Risk assets, including Bitcoin, rise. A Pattern 
Hayes Has Bet On Before He made this case publicly in a Substack post, where 
he wrote that investors could find a meaningful entry point once the Fed 
begins cutting rates or expanding the money supply. He named Bitcoin and a 
handful of what he called high-quality altcoins as the assets best positioned 
to benefit once that shift begins. The key moment, in his view, is not the 
conflict itself but what comes after. Rate cuts and fresh liquidity, he 
argues, are what actually move prices. Related Reading: Long-Term Bitcoin 
Holders Buy $14 Billion In BTC As Retail Headed For The Exit The Gap Between 
The Forecast And The Chart Bitcoin&#8217;s current price tells a different story 
from Hayes&#8217; projections. The coin sits roughly half its October peak of 
$126,000. While gold and oil climbed after US and Israeli strikes killed 
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Bitcoin did not follow. It sold off 
initially before recovering to current levels. That disconnect — commodities 
rallying while Bitcoin lags — has not shaken Hayes&#8217; outlook. His $500,000 to 
$750,000 call remains intact, pinned to the belief that monetary policy, not 
headlines, is what ultimately drives the price. Whether the Fed moves in that 
direction depends on how long and how costly the conflict becomes. Featured 
image from US Air Force, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin To $750K? Arthur Hayes Drops Bombshell Prediction Amid Iran War

Bitcoin could be headed for a blast off as safe-haven demand surges across 
markets, according to Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki, who pointed to 
gold’s huge spike as a signal for bitcoin and silver. Robert Kiyosaki Signals 
Bitcoin ‘Blast off’ After Gold’s Sudden $128 Spike Sparks Safe-Haven Rush Rich 
Dad Poor Dad author […]

Robert Kiyosaki Predicts Bitcoin ‘Blast off’ as Global Tensions Push Investors Toward Alternative Assets

Arthur Hayes signals a strategic window for bitcoin investors as potential 
U.S. conflict spending could push the Federal Reserve toward policies that 
historically ignite major crypto rallies, revealing when he believes the 
smartest buying opportunity may emerge. Arthur Hayes Advises Buying Bitcoin 
After Fed Prints Money to Support US Conflict Spending Geopolitical conflict 
and monetary […]

When Is a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin? Arthur Hayes Points to Fed Cuts Amid Iran Conflict

Bitcoin climbed back above $71,000 on Wednesday, reaching its highest level 
since February 8, even as broader geopolitical risk remained elevated. The 
move appears to have been triggered by a sudden shift in macro sentiment 
around Iran, but market structure inside crypto had already left BTC primed 
for a sharp reversal. Why Is The Bitcoin Price Up Today? The immediate 
catalyst came from a report cited by The Kobeissi Letter, which said the New 
York Times had reported that Iran made a “secret” offer to the US to negotiate 
an end to the war. According to Kobeissi, the proposed framework included Iran 
abandoning or sharply curtailing its ballistic missile and nuclear programs, 
as well as reducing support for proxy groups, while President Donald Trump had 
“suggested” Iran’s surviving leaders could remain in power under a so-called 
“Venezuela model.” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $11 Million By 2036? This AI- 
Deflation Thesis Is Turning Heads Kobeissi added that “it remains unclear if a 
deal is feasible at this point in time,” but the timing matched a rapid risk- 
on reaction across US stock futures markets as well as Bitcoin. That macro 
headline helps explain the spark. It does not fully explain why Bitcoin 
reacted more forcefully than stocks and gold. For that, the positioning 
backdrop matters. BREAKING: US stock market futures surge as the New York 
Times reports that Iran made a &#8220;secret&#8221; offer to the US to negotiate a deal to 
end the war. Potential terms include: 1. Iran to abandon or drastically 
curtail its ballistic missile and nuclear programs 2. Iran to abandon… 
https://t.co/IsF3saWl1A — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 4, 2026 
Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research, argued that Bitcoin entered the 
latest week in an unusually compressed state after months of persistent 
weakness. “Bitcoin entered the weekend heavily oversold, heavily shorted, and 
significantly underowned,” Lunde wrote. “First and foremost, the context for 
BTC ahead of the war in Iran is wildly different from other asset classes. 
Bitcoin had fallen 50% after five continuous months of downside. The weekly 
RSI fell to its third lowest reading ever, meaning BTC entered the week 
uniquely oversold.” In other words, Bitcoin was not coming into the 
geopolitical shock from a position of strength. It was coming in after a deep 
washout. Lunde also noted that institutional exposure had already been cut 
back materially, with spot ETFs seeing outflows of nearly 100,000 BTC and 
notional CME open interest falling 30% from October levels. That matters 
because investors most likely to use BTC as a hedge against uncertainty had, 
in his view, already reduced exposure, loosening the asset’s correlation to 
traditional macro trades. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street 
Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says Inside derivatives, the setup looked 
even more asymmetric. Lunde said perpetual funding rates had been unusually 
low and that traders had spent much of February paying a premium to stay 
short. “This is atypical market behavior for BTC, an asset with a distinct 
long bias,” he wrote. “Similar funding rate regimes have often appeared during 
bottoming phases and have historically reflected imbalances, overcrowding, and 
sell-side exhaustion.” That imbalance began to unwind quickly as price turned. 
In a follow-up post, Lunde said Binance BTCUSDT perpetual open interest had 
risen by 7,547 BTC in just four hours, a jump he said had not been seen on a 
comparable 4-hour basis since 2023. That suggests the rally was not just a 
spot reaction to headlines, but also a derivatives-led repositioning event. 
Crypto contributor Darkfost pointed to similar evidence. He noted that 
Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000 came alongside five consecutive days of spot 
ETF inflows and a decisive turn in aggressive derivatives buying. On Binance, 
the BTC Taker Buy Sell Ratio reached 1.18, its highest reading of the year, 
while taker buy volume exceeded $1 billion per hour multiple times during the 
session. Taken together, those signals suggest buyers are no longer simply 
absorbing selling pressure; they are beginning to dictate short-term price 
action. At press time, BTC traded at $70,851. Featured image created with 
DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Price Surges Back Above $71,000: Key Reasons Explained

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