I started looking into Bitcoin since 2019 and observing market since then. Here I will express my views on Bitcoin based on my prior experience. Any view should not be considered as a financial advice.

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On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how a flip in Bitcoin short- 
term holder profitability could act as a precondition for a sustained price 
recovery. Bitcoin STH Supply In Profit Is Currently Under 50% In a new post on 
X, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Supply in Profit metric 
for the Bitcoin short-term holders (STHs). The Supply in Profit measures, as 
its name suggests, the percentage of the BTC supply that&#8217;s currently being 
held at some net unrealized gain. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns Mirror 
Late-2022 Levels Seen Before 67% Rally: Santiment In the context of the 
current topic, only the above-water supply held by the BTC STHs is of 
relevance. This cohort includes all addresses that purchased their tokens 
within the past 155 days. The STHs make up one of the two main divisions of 
the market, based on holding time, with the other side being known as the 
long-term holders (LTHs). Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto 
their coins, the less likely they are to sell them in the future. As such, the 
STHs with their relatively low holding time are considered to represent the 
weak-minded side of the market, while the LTHs include the diamond hands. As 
the chart below for the Supply in Profit of the STHs shows, the new entrants 
to the market were enjoying a high degree of profitability before Bitcoin 
experienced a bearish shift in Q4 2025: The price decline has caused the 
indicator&#8217;s value to plummet, meaning a chunk of the tokens held by the 
Bitcoin STHs have gone underwater. From the graph, it&#8217;s apparent that the 
indicator dropped below the 50% mark a while ago and has continued to be in 
this low profitability zone since. In the past, this cohort being under stress 
has generally meant a lack of demand in the market. &#8220;Demand-side risk appetite 
tends to remain suppressed until this flips back above 50%,&#8221; noted Glassnode. 
In the chart, a few examples of the STH Supply in Profit flipping back above 
50% are visible, with the latest one being the price rebound from the first 
half of 2025. Back then, a return of profits for the cohort led to a Bitcoin 
rally that set new price all-time highs (ATHs). Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull 
Score Surges To 30, Exits ‘Extra Bearish’ Zone Given this trend, it&#8217;s possible 
that a flip in the metric above the 50% level could once again be of 
significance for the cryptocurrency. &#8220;Watch this level as a precondition for 
any sustained recovery,&#8221; explained the analytics firm. BTC Price Bitcoin has 
been making a fresh attempt at the $72,000 level following its surge of 3% 
over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Recovery Requires STH Profitability Above 50%: Glassnode

French Hill, chair of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, said the 
CLARITY Act could help address unresolved issues in the GENIUS Act. French 
Hill remarks on CLARITY and GENIUS Acts Hill discussed concerns raised by 
banks about how crypto…

French Hill says CLARITY Act could fix gaps left by GENIUS Act

Bitcoiners often argue that BTC should thrive when the global financial system 
starts to look unstable. But Luke Gromen says that this time, BTC simply was 
not behaving the way he thought it should, and that was enough for him to 
slash a position he described as “irresponsibly large.” Gromen Says BTC’s 
Weakness Against Gold, […]

Luke Gromen Says ‘Nuclear Printing’ Needed to Push Bitcoin Back Into Bull Market

The institutional access to Ethereum continues to expand as traditional 
finance deepens its involvement in digital asset markets. A new development 
drawing attention is the launch of BlackRock’s ETHB, which introduces another 
potential channel for capital to flow into the ETH ecosystem. This product 
provides investors with regulated exposure to ETH through familiar market 
infrastructure. BlackRock has opened a new potential inflow channel for 
Ethereum with the launch of its staked ETH Trust, ETHB, which has begun 
trading. Analyst Milk Road has revealed on X that this ETHB is not just 
another ETH ETF, but one that actually pays investors while holding it. The 
development follows the rapid growth of BlackRock&#8217;s earlier crypto funds. The 
firm&#8217;s IBIT Bitcoin ETF has grown to roughly $55 billion in assets, while its 
first ETH ETF product, iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), reached about $6.5 
billion in assets shortly after launch. Both funds are ranked among the 
fastest-growing ETF launches in history, and ETHB is attempting to achieve 
what neither product couldn’t by combining ETH price exposure with staking 
rewards, which is the closest thing crypto has to a dividend. How The New 
Product Provides Exposure To Ethereum Staking For many investors, direct 
staking can be complicated, and participating typically requires 32 ETH, a 
technical setup, and acceptance of certain lock-up risks. ETHB aims to 
simplify that process by packaging staking within a regulated investment 
product that can be purchased through a standard brokerage account. The fund 
also introduces a relatively low management fee set at 0.12% on the first $2.5 
billion in assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Reaches Historic Levels, 
Price Hovers Near $2K Milk Road explains that if this move is successful, ETH 
could increasingly be treated as a yield-generating digital asset within a 
401(k). Retirement accounts and pension funds can now gain access to staking 
rewards without directly interacting with wallets. For many, ETH is a 
technology bet and a narrative that takes a real hit, but it is now an income- 
generating digital asset. Thus, the first wave of spot ETH ETFs launched 
without staking functionality was rejected by the regulators. Now, they&#8217;ve 
accepted it because the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) 
effectively says that staking rewards are not securities, at least when 
wrapped inside a BlockRock product. Related Reading: Ethereum Breakout Alert: 
Corrective Channel Flip Sparks Impulsive Wave With BlackRock already managing 
tens of billions of dollars in BTC and ETH, ETHB presents a third channel for 
investor flow. Milk Road believes that if the product follows the same 
trajectory, it could become a significant new driver of institutional demand 
for ETH. Ethereum Sees Another Wave Of Aggressive Long Position Accumulation 
An analyst known as CW highlighted that Ethereum has continued to experience 
strong net buying pressure in long positions, following a surge that first 
appeared the previous day. The buying pattern closely mirrors the wave that 
occurred earlier, where large-scale purchases were executed within a short 
timeframe. Currently, the market appears to be taking a brief pause after the 
surge in long positions. Featured image from Freepik, chart from 
Tradingview.com

Ethereum Gains New Inflow Channel As BlackRock’s ETHB Starts Trading

Circle’s USDC has overtaken Tether’s USDT in adjusted stablecoin transaction 
volume for the first time since 2019, signaling a notable shift in how digital 
dollars are actually being used across crypto markets. A March 13 research 
note from Mizuho Securities analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins found 
that USDC has processed about $2.2 trillion in […]

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