Despite growing optimism that Bitcoin has reached a cycle low, historical 
cycles suggest another leg down could still be ahead. While rising 
institutional involvement may reduce the severity of the downturn, a chart 
shared by a top crypto analyst suggests the cryptocurrency could still be 
headed for a bottom below $30,000 before a sustained recovery begins. Bitcoin 
Cycle Pattern Points To Possible Deeper Low The analyst explains that Bitcoin 
has followed a repeating pattern across major market cycles, where strong 
rallies are followed by very deep price declines. In previous cycles, Bitcoin 
fell about 83.90% after the 2017 peak and about 77.91% after the 2021 peak. 
These past moves are used as a guide for understanding the current market 
structure. Related Reading: Analyst Calls Out Stagnant Logic Being Used On 
XRP, Predicts When Price Will Rally To $300 In the present cycle, Bitcoin 
climbed above $120,000 during the 2025 bull run before entering a decline. At 
the time of the analysis, the price was in the low-$60,000 range. The main 
point being made is that if Bitcoin were to fall by a similar percentage as in 
earlier cycles, the final bottom could be much lower than current levels. A 
similar type of decline, around 78.92%, would place a potential low below 
$30,000. This is not presented as a prediction, but as a possible outcome if 
the market follows its historical pattern. The analyst also highlights that 
Bitcoin tends to move within a long-term upward channel, with past bear-market 
lows forming near the lower edge of that range. Based on this structure, the 
argument suggests that the market may still be in the middle of its correction 
phase, and a deeper drop is still possible before a final bottom is reached. 
Institutions Change The Equation Yet the analyst does not believe history will 
repeat perfectly. While the chart illustrates that past cycles often erased 
close to 80% of value from their highs, he argues that the market structure 
has evolved. Unlike earlier cycles, the current environment includes 
substantial institutional participation. Large investment firms, exchange- 
traded funds, and corporate treasury allocations have introduced new sources 
of demand that were largely absent during the 2018 and 2022 bear markets. From 
the analyst’s perspective, that growing institutional presence should 
gradually reduce volatility. Related Reading: Pundit Says Dogecoin Is About To 
Do Something Insane, Here’s What For that reason, the analyst expects the 
eventual drawdown to be closer to 50%–60% rather than the historical average 
near 80%. Based on that framework, a bottom of around $52,000 becomes the 
preferred target rather than a collapse below $30,000. The outlook also 
includes a bold forecast that October could mark the beginning of a new bull 
market. For now, the chart presents two competing possibilities. Historical 
cycle behavior suggests a destination below $30,000, while the analyst’s 
adjusted model points to a shallower decline near $52,000. The gap between 
those outcomes highlights the question dominating Bitcoin’s market today: will 
institutional capital rewrite the rules, or will history have the final word? 
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Despite growing optimism that Bitcoin has reached a cycle low, historical cycles suggest another leg down could still be ahead. While rising institutional involvement may reduce the severity of the downturn, a chart shared by a top crypto analyst suggests the cryptocurrency could still be headed for a bottom below $30,000 before a sustained recovery &#8230;

Bad News For Bitcoin: Historical Lows Show The Bottom Actually Lies Below $30,000

Bitcoin&#8217;s brief weekend rally lost its footing as a sudden resumption of 
military hostilities between Israel and Iran triggered a broad rotation away 
from risk-on investments. The geopolitical escalation, which defied explicit 
diplomatic pressure from Washington, sent global energy benchmarks surging and 
equity markets lower, leaving BTC to defend a highly fragile $60,000 baseline. 
Data […]
The post Bitcoin price rebound wobbles as Israel defies Trump and hits Iran, 
sending oil back toward $100 appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Bitcoin&#8217;s brief weekend rally lost its footing as a sudden resumption of military hostilities between Israel and Iran triggered a broad rotation away from risk-on investments. The geopolitical escalation, which defied explicit diplomatic pressure from Washington, sent global energy benchmarks surging and equity markets lower, leaving BTC to defend a highly fragile $60,000 baseline. Data &#8230;

Bitcoin price rebound wobbles as Israel defies Trump and hits Iran, sending oil back toward $100

Russia&#8217;s crypto restrictions may limit retail investor growth and innovation, 
while reinforcing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT&#8217;s market dominance.
The post Central Bank of Russia restricts retail investors to Bitcoin, 
Ethereum, and USDT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Russia&#8217;s crypto restrictions may limit retail investor growth and innovation, while reinforcing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT&#8217;s market dominance. The post Central Bank of Russia restricts retail investors to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Central Bank of Russia restricts retail investors to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDT

Permanent joint European debt could enhance euro stability, deepen capital 
markets, and elevate the euro&#8217;s global reserve status.
The post European Central Bank&#8217;s Patsalides pushes for permanent joint 
European debt to bolster euro stability appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Permanent joint European debt could enhance euro stability, deepen capital markets, and elevate the euro&#8217;s global reserve status. The post European Central Bank&#8217;s Patsalides pushes for permanent joint European debt to bolster euro stability appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

European Central Bank’s Patsalides pushes for permanent joint European debt to bolster euro stability

The attack underscores ongoing risks to nuclear safety in conflict zones, 
highlighting the potential for catastrophic consequences if containment fails.
The post Russian drone strikes nuclear-fuel storage facility near Chornobyl, 
Ukraine reports appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The attack underscores ongoing risks to nuclear safety in conflict zones, highlighting the potential for catastrophic consequences if containment fails. The post Russian drone strikes nuclear-fuel storage facility near Chornobyl, Ukraine reports appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Russian drone strikes nuclear-fuel storage facility near Chornobyl, Ukraine reports

Congress is moving to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction markets like 
Polymarket and Kalshi over insider trading. Why it’s happening and why 
platforms agree.

Congress is moving to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi over insider trading. Why it’s happening and why platforms agree.

Bad News For Bitcoin: Historical Lows Show The Bottom Actually Lies Below $30,000

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