A countertrend rally that pushed Bitcoin to $82,800 has done little to change 
one analyst&#8217;s bearish outlook — because he says the bounce itself is proof the 
pattern is repeating. Related Reading: When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To 
Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says What The Charts Are Showing Benjamin Cowen, 
founder and CEO of Into The Cryptoverse, points to a recurring rejection at 
the 200-day simple moving average as a key signal. The same thing happened in 
2018 and 2022, and both times it came just before the final leg down. Cowen 
also noted that some countertrend rallies in past cycles ran longer than 20 
weeks. The current one clocked in at 16 weeks, which he says undercuts the 
argument that Bitcoin has already found its floor. The four year cycle for 
Bitcoin is not dead. Bitcoin topped when it always topped (to within 1 week 
when measure from low-to-high), so why can&#8217;t it bottom near the end of the 
midterm year, just as it generally has? (1/x) pic.twitter.com/Spoh4s6NRG — 
Benjamin Cowen (@benjamincowen) May 25, 2026 Bitcoin Peaked On Schedule 
According to Cowen, Bitcoin&#8217;s run-up to $126,200 in October 2025 landed within 
the expected cycle window when measured from the previous low to the high. 
That kind of timing at the top, he argues, makes it harder to dismiss the same 
framework when looking at where the bottom might land. Past cycles put their 
lows in the closing months of the midterm year — December 2018 and November 
2022, specifically. Based on that pattern, Cowen believes the bottom is still 
ahead, likely toward the end of 2026. Two charts he shared support the view. 
One tracks the return on investment from the market cycle peak to the bear 
market low. The other tracks the multiplier from bear market lows to the next 
bull market peak. Both are following the shape of prior cycles, even if the 
raw numbers are smaller this time around. When The Drop Could Come Cowen had 
previously flagged May and June as the window when the next significant 
decline would begin. He expects that move to carry Bitcoin below the February 
6 low of $60,000 — a level that a number of other analysts have called the 
cycle bottom. Related Reading: Crypto Market Sees $1.46B Fund Exodus As 
Traders Turn Cautious Not everyone sees another drop coming. Analyst Sykodelic 
has predicted Bitcoin will climb past $90,000 in June after retesting a key 
level of support. The debate reflects a broader split in how analysts are 
reading the market right now. Cowen&#8217;s position rests on the idea that the 
four-year cycle, tied to Bitcoin&#8217;s halving schedule, continues to drive price 
behavior in a predictable way despite the asset&#8217;s growth and changing market 
structure. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

A countertrend rally that pushed Bitcoin to $82,800 has done little to change one analyst&#8217;s bearish outlook — because he says the bounce itself is proof the pattern is repeating. Related Reading: When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest, Analyst Says What The Charts Are Showing Benjamin Cowen, founder and CEO of &#8230;

Bitcoin’s 4-Year Rhythm Is Still Playing Out, Says Crypto CEO

The potential forced selling of Bitcoin by treasury-heavy firms could trigger 
a feedback loop, amplifying market volatility and investor risk.
The post Fund manager warns Bitcoin could drop as $150B Treasury operation 
nears appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The potential forced selling of Bitcoin by treasury-heavy firms could trigger a feedback loop, amplifying market volatility and investor risk. The post Fund manager warns Bitcoin could drop as $150B Treasury operation nears appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Fund manager warns Bitcoin could drop as $150B Treasury operation nears

China&#8217;s AI-driven export surge strengthens its economic resilience, but 
potential overinvestment and tighter US controls pose future risks.
The post China&#8217;s AI investment boom boosts exports, eases yuan concerns 
appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

China&#8217;s AI-driven export surge strengthens its economic resilience, but potential overinvestment and tighter US controls pose future risks. The post China&#8217;s AI investment boom boosts exports, eases yuan concerns appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

China’s AI investment boom boosts exports, eases yuan concerns

Rising rates may attract foreign capital, strengthening the rand, but could 
slow economic growth and impact rate-sensitive sectors.
The post South African Reserve Bank set to raise rates for first time since 
2023 amid Iran war inflation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Rising rates may attract foreign capital, strengthening the rand, but could slow economic growth and impact rate-sensitive sectors. The post South African Reserve Bank set to raise rates for first time since 2023 amid Iran war inflation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

South African Reserve Bank set to raise rates for first time since 2023 amid Iran war inflation

Streamlining the sanctions list could enhance focus on high-impact targets, 
potentially improving compliance efficiency and geopolitical strategy.
The post US Treasury erases 80 outdated names from sanctions blacklist as part 
of review appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Streamlining the sanctions list could enhance focus on high-impact targets, potentially improving compliance efficiency and geopolitical strategy. The post US Treasury erases 80 outdated names from sanctions blacklist as part of review appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

US Treasury erases 80 outdated names from sanctions blacklist as part of review

The Bitcoin slump and ETF outflows highlight increased market volatility, 
driven by geopolitical tensions and potential Fed rate hikes impacting 
liquidity.
The post Bitcoin slumps below $73,000 as ETF outflows hit $733 million 
appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

The Bitcoin slump and ETF outflows highlight increased market volatility, driven by geopolitical tensions and potential Fed rate hikes impacting liquidity. The post Bitcoin slumps below $73,000 as ETF outflows hit $733 million appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Bitcoin’s 4-Year Rhythm Is Still Playing Out, Says Crypto CEO

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