Bitcoin’s latest on-chain picture is beginning to look less like panic and 
more like patience. Data from CryptoQuant, highlighted by crypto analyst 
Darkfost, shows that long-term holder supply has climbed back to 15.26 million 
BTC, returning to a level last seen in August 2025. The move comes at a 
sensitive point for Bitcoin, with the price still trying to build strength 
around $80,000 while traders are currently split between another breakdown and 
a recovery. Related Reading: XRP Records Biggest Spike In Network Usage In 2 
Months Long-Term Holders Add 316,000 BTC In 30 Days On-chain data tracked by 
CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term holder (LTH) supply has recovered 
to 15.26 million BTC, levels last seen in August 2025. However, the most 
important detail in the CryptoQuant chart is not only that long-term holder 
supply is rising but also the speed of the increase in the past month. LTH 
supply has grown by roughly 316,000 BTC over the past 30 days. That means more 
coins are aging into long-term holder status, which is a category used to 
identify investors who have held their Bitcoin for at least about six months 
and are less likely to react to short-term volatility. As shown in the chart 
image below, the green bars representing the 30-day change in LTH supply have 
increased into positive territory in recent weeks, which is a distinct 
reversal from the red distribution phase that dominated late 2025. At the end 
of November, the same 30-day metric showed a negative change of about 650,000 
BTC, meaning a large amount of supply had moved out of long-term holder 
wallets during that period. That earlier phase coincided with a more 
vulnerable market structure as Bitcoin rolled over from its October 2025 all- 
time high and began a deeper correction. Bitcoin LTH Supply Change Darkfost 
also relayed this change to the earlier movement of 800,000 BTC from Coinbase. 
His point is that May 23 could become an important date for on-chain 
discussions, as those coins will officially cross the six-month threshold. 
Once that happens, then investors could see more commentary around how much of 
that supply is being reclassified into the hands of long-term holders. Bitcoin 
Showing Strength The long-term holder data also fits into a separate outlook 
from analyst Michaël van de Poppe, who noted that the market may be too 
focused on new lows. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s 25% rebound from its 
recent lows, despite Middle East war concerns and a rise in yields, is a sign 
of resilience. In his argument, losing the 21-day moving average does not 
automatically mean Bitcoin must collapse into new lows, especially since the 
price is still holding above $76,000. Van de Poppe also compared Bitcoin 
against gold, saying the BTC/gold RSI has fallen to one of its lowest readings 
ever. However, previous low readings in the BTC/gold RSI did not happen during 
the start of a bear market but came during the beginning of stronger Bitcoin 
phases. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoMichNL On X A crash to new lows 
would require Bitcoin to invalidate the 200-week moving average, something 
that would break most cycle behavior outside extreme shocks such as the Luna 
and FTX collapses in 2022. Related Reading: Warren Zeroes In On Crypto Deal 
Structure As $75M Loan Draws Attention This does not mean that Bitcoin cannot 
test lower support. A move to $70,000 could still happen as a support test, 
but the difference is that he does not see new lows as the most likely 
outcome. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin LTH Supply Climbs Back To August 2025 Levels As 316K BTC Move Into Strong Hands

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Bitcoin LTH Supply Climbs Back To August 2025 Levels As 316K BTC Move Into Strong Hands

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