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sentMar 31, 2026, 10:19 AM

On-chain / Market Alert

Bitcoin closes Q1 2026 down 6.6% in final week

Affected assets
BTCETH
Event summary

Bitcoin declined 6.6% during the final week of Q1 2026, with market sentiment reaching Extreme Fear levels at 13/100. The crypto market closed the quarter with significant losses amid broader volatility.

Rationale

Bitcoin recorded a -23.21% return in Q1 2026, its third-worst since 2013, with a 6.6% drop in the final week amid Extreme Fear sentiment.[Event] Ethereum saw a worse -32.17% quarterly loss, signaling broad market weakness and back-to-back losing quarters for BTC.

Analysis
  • Why it matters now: Q1 2026 Bitcoin return of -23.21%—third-worst since 2013—marks back-to-back losing quarters amid extreme fear (13/100), signaling broad crypto weakness.
  • Short-term reaction: Likely consolidation or further caution as bears dominate, with selling pressure fading but sentiment fearful.
  • Medium-term implications: Potential stabilization from LTH buying, ETF inflows, corporate treasuries; historical volatility suggests no fixed Q1 pattern.
  • Assets benefiting vs at risk: Altcoins/infrastructure may gain attention; BTC/ETH face highest risk from momentum loss.
  • Key uncertainty: Macro liquidity (e.g., RMP policy) and on-chain shifts.