Crypto prediction markets
See where traders are staking money on crypto narratives. Powered by the Perplexity finance prediction feed (Polymarket data).
Bitcoin consolidation around $85,000-$95,000 dominates with 30.5% odds at $85K and diminishing sub-5% probability above $100K, creating a key value opportunity near the MA720 technical support zone ($86K) as whale selling pressure declines and markets price January as a critical accumulation phase before potential recovery.
Ethereum's January 2026 price market shows extreme certainty that ETH will exceed $3,200 (100% probability) but critical uncertainty at the $2,800 level (50/50 odds), presenting a high-volume trading opportunity as current spot prices around $2,900-$3,000 suggest the market is pricing in significant downside risk despite analyst targets of $3,350-$3,660.
The Solana January price market shows extreme concentration around $120-140 levels with 100% probability already locked in for ≥$130 and ≥$140, while the critical battleground sits at $120 (46% probability) where nearly $462K in volume signals traders are split on whether SOL can hold above this key support level amid current bearish momentum from its $293 all-time high.
This binary Bitcoin direction market shows perfect 50/50 pricing with modest $20K volume, indicating traders are evenly split amid BTC's sideways consolidation around $89K and recent institutional ETF outflows of $1.3-$1.6 billion, creating a pure coin-flip opportunity that may offer edge to informed traders with real-time technical analysis.
Bitcoin's January 19-25 price prediction market shows heavy bearish sentiment with BTC already confirmed below $90k and $88k (both at 100% probability), while the highest-volume actionable bet centers on whether it will drop to $86k (6.35% probability, $413k volume), suggesting traders see limited downside remaining but are betting against any recovery above $94k (0.65% probability) during a week characterized by macro turbulence and widespread investor fear.
With Bitcoin trading around $89,000-$89,700 and the market heavily concentrated in the $88k-$90k range (40% probability, $84,673 volume), traders face a compressed opportunity window as BTC struggles below key resistance at $91,500-$93,000 amid bearish technical signals and ongoing tariff-driven volatility, making the adjacent $86k-$88k (25%) and $90k-$92k (19.5%) brackets attractive hedges for price swings in the final hours before January 26 settlement.
The market shows strong consensus that Bitcoin will remain in the $86,000-$88,000 range by January 26th noon ET (89% and 63% probabilities respectively), while the sharp probability drop at $90,000 (24.5%) creates an attractive risk-reward opportunity for contrarian traders betting on volatility amid ongoing trade war tensions and recent $865M in liquidations.
With $257,746 in volume and perfectly balanced 50/50 odds, this high-liquidity 1-hour Bitcoin directional bet reflects intense uncertainty as BTC consolidates around $88,265 amid bearish technical signals, failed resistance at $91,000, and critical support testing at $85,000-$88,000.
With Bitcoin trading at $88,265 and consolidating below $90,000 amid bearish pressure and $1.33-$1.6 billion ETF outflows, this perfectly balanced 50-50 market with $249K volume presents a pure coin-flip opportunity on whether BTC can hold critical $88,000 support or break down toward the $85,000-86,000 zone during the 2PM ET hourly candle.
The market shows significant volume concentration ($1.75M) around the $600M-$1B FDV range with a sharp probability drop-off from 45% at $600M to 23% at $800M, indicating traders see $600M-$800M as the critical valuation battleground with premarket weakness reportedly pushing odds down from 53% to 45% at the $600M threshold.
The XRP January price market shows extreme consensus with 100% probability on levels at or above $2.00 being achieved, while the critical battleground sits at $1.80 (46.5% probability), presenting a potential trading opportunity as XRP currently trades around $1.91-$1.95 with analysts calling for a bounce from oversold conditions and technical support at $1.90.
With $9M in volume and Bitcoin currently trading around $89,300, markets show high conviction on BTC remaining above $85K-$100K (68-100% probability) but only 44% odds of breaking $120K, suggesting traders expect prolonged consolidation in Q1 2026 before any attempt at the widely-forecasted $150K-$180K targets later in the year.
The market implies a 70% probability Bitcoin holds $88,000 by January 27 but only 39% chance of reaching $90,000, creating a sharp value opportunity around the $88-90K range where the probability drops 31 percentage points despite minimal price difference.
This market shows perfectly balanced 50-50 odds with modest $21K volume, reflecting extreme uncertainty as Bitcoin trades around $88,265 amid bearish technicals, ETF outflows of $1.3-$1.6 billion, and potential support tests at $86,561, creating a pure coin-flip scenario for short-term traders despite ongoing institutional selling pressure.
With ETH trading around $2,900-$3,000 and the market showing 100% certainty it will stay below $3,100 but only 6.3% probability of dropping below $2,800, traders face a narrow consolidation zone where the most liquid opportunity lies in betting against extreme downside moves given the strong support holding above $2,900.
With gold having already breached $5,000 on January 24, 2026, this $1.5M market is essentially settled at 99.55% probability for gold, leaving minimal opportunity except for arbitrage on the remaining 0.45% ETH mispricing as the event awaits formal resolution by June 30, 2026.
The market shows extremely high confidence that Bitway's Kaito Capital Launchpad sale will exceed $1M (99.8% probability) with strong trading volume ($131k), but the critical pricing opportunity lies in the $2M-$3M range where probabilities drop sharply from 60% to 27%, suggesting traders are uncertain whether the $1M target raise will see significant oversubscription despite priority access for Kaito community members.
With ETH trading at $2,949 and 68.5% of the market concentrated in the $2,800-3,000 range, traders face a tight consolidation play where the dominant $2,900-3,000 bracket (44% probability) offers the most liquid opportunity, though whale accumulation near $3,000 and technical forecasts targeting $2,954 by January 26 suggest modest upside risk to the neighboring $3,000-3,100 bracket currently priced at just 20.5%.
XRP has already resolved 100% below $1.90 with the market currently trading around $1.85-$1.90, leaving minimal trading opportunities as higher price targets ($2.10+) carry only 1-2% probability despite moderate volume ($5K-$13K per level) amid bearish pressure from Trump tariffs, legislative delays, and technical weakness testing critical support.
The market shows high confidence in ETH staying above $2,800-$2,900 (95-75% probabilities) but a dramatic cliff at $3,000 (30% probability), creating a compelling trading opportunity around the $2,900-$3,000 range where whale accumulation battles retail distribution amid record network activity yet muted momentum.