Despite aggressive bullish bets, market odds imply under 3% chance of $200,000 BTC price by December of this year.

Traders bet on $200K year-end Bitcoin, but real odds tell a different story

Ether taps $4,000 for the first time in eight months in a further win for ETH 
bulls and the broader altseason, while Bitcoin dominance fades.

Ether price hits $4K for first time since December 2024

Nansen just flipped the lights on inside Ethereum’s most opaque scaling 
playground. By integrating Metis Andromeda, its AI-driven analytics are 
exposing the smart money flows, hidden dApp traction, and whale movements that 
Layer-2 users have been guessing at for years.…

Nansen brings Metis Andromeda’s onchain activity into clear view

Web3 AI projects often force blockchain integration to access capital, harming 
innovation by prioritizing ecosystem compatibility over practical AI 
solutions.

Blockchain AI cannibalizes decentralized AI

Bitcoin has reclaimed the crucial $115,000 level after briefly dipping to 
$112,000 earlier this week, signaling renewed strength from the bulls. The 
sharp recovery highlights buyers’ resilience following recent volatility, with 
price action now showing signs of bullish dominance. This rebound comes as 
traders and investors brace for the potential next leg up, eyeing higher 
resistance levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Signals Fragile 
Support: Correction Risk Intensifies Key market data adds weight to the 
bullish case. The Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position — a closely 
watched indicator that tracks the balance between long and short positions — 
has shifted in favor of the bulls, showing a clear edge over shorts. This 
change in positioning suggests that sentiment is turning more optimistic, with 
market participants increasingly betting on further upside. However, while 
momentum is building, the coming days will be decisive. Bitcoin must maintain 
its hold above the $115K level to confirm this shift and open the door to a 
push toward the next major resistance. Failure to do so could invite fresh 
selling pressure, putting the recent gains at risk. For now, market structure 
and derivatives data suggest that bulls are in control, and the stage is set 
for Bitcoin’s next significant move. Bitcoin Market Sentiment Shifts as 
Technical and Fundamental Tailwinds Align According to top analyst Axel Adler, 
Bitcoin’s market structure is undergoing a notable shift. After a prolonged 
bearish regime since late July — marked by sustained short pressure and 
represented in the red zone — the SMA-120 line for the Bitcoin Futures Open 
Interest Net Position has reversed upward, reaching the neutral zero mark. 
This indicator, which reflects the balance between long and short positioning, 
signals that the market has moved from aggressive short dominance to a 
neutral-bullish stance. Adler notes that a similar reversal attempt occurred 
just a week ago but failed to hold, leading to renewed selling pressure. This 
time, if the SMA-120 remains above zero for another two consecutive days, it 
would confirm a regime change, potentially paving the way for a more sustained 
bullish phase. On the fundamental side, momentum is being supported by a major 
policy development: US President Donald Trump has signed an executive order 
permitting alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies, to be included in 
401(k) retirement plans. This landmark decision could open the door for 
millions of Americans to gain exposure to Bitcoin and other digital assets 
through their retirement savings, significantly expanding potential demand. 
Related Reading: XRP Whale Activity Signals Warning: Distribution Pattern 
Resurfaces BTC Tests Key Liquidity Levels Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a strong 
recovery after recently dipping to the $112K region, with bulls reclaiming the 
critical $115,724 support level. The rebound has pushed BTC toward the 
$116,700 area, signaling renewed buying interest after a period of panic 
selling. The 50-day SMA (blue) is currently providing dynamic support near 
$113K, helping reinforce the bullish case in the short term. Above, the next 
major resistance is at $122,077, which marks the upper boundary of the recent 
consolidation range. A decisive breakout above this level could open the door 
for a retest of all-time highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Bears Dominate 
Market Orders: -$418.8M Daily Net Taker Volume Signals Trouble The market’s 
bias leans bullish as long as BTC remains above the 50-day SMA, but traders 
should watch for momentum signals. If price gains slow while approaching 
$122K, the risk of a pullback grows. Overall, BTC’s current structure reflects 
a market attempting to shift back into a bullish posture, with $115,724 acting 
as the key line in the sand for trend continuation. Featured image from 
Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details

Bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw a combined $503 million in 
inflows on Thursday, marking one of the strongest days for institutional 
sentiment in recent weeks. Bitcoin notched its second consecutive green day, 
while ether funds posted their largest inflow since mid-July. Crypto ETFs Roar 
Back: BTC Pulls in $281 Million, ETH Adds $222 […]