Crypto tokens have failed retail investors through insider concentration and poor design. Regulation and tokenized real-world assets offer hope for revival.

The token is dead, long live the token

Bitcoin’s recent climb has been calm and measured, a sharp contrast to the 
explosive rallies of the past. It’s trading above its historical growth path, 
but far from overheating. Long-time holders remain mostly inactive, while the 
bulk of trading activity is coming from fresh faces in the market. Related 
Reading: No Gold? No Problem: Why XRP Stands Strong On Its Own—Analyst Bitcoin 
Growth Remains On Track Based on reports by Arab Chain using CryptoQuant data, 
Bitcoin’s price is tracking a Power Law trend that suggests a smooth, 
logarithmic rise over time. That model creates a curved path rather than 
sudden spikes. Right now, BTC sits above the expected growth line but well 
below the upper “red zone” that signals overheating. The divergence indicator 
is positive, yet far from levels seen in past bubbles. This pattern hints at 
natural growth or perhaps the early stages of renewed betting. Divergence 
Keeps Room For Upside Analysts note that staying below the top watch zone 
leaves room for more gains before panic sets in. In prior cycles, prices shot 
through that red zone and then collapsed. Today, Bitcoin is about $50,000 
under its most recent peak level. That gap suggests buyers still have 
breathing room if they choose to push prices higher. On-chain data from 
Glassnode shows short-term holders (STHs) are behind most of the action. 
Around 86% of Bitcoin’s spent volume over the last 24 hours came from wallets 
active less than 155 days, totaling $18 billion. Long-term holders (LTHs) 
accounted for only 14.5% of spent volume, or $3.10 billion. That split means 
newer entrants are driving swings, while veteran holders stay largely on the 
sidelines. Long-Term Holders Show Conviction That dichotomy between STHs and 
LTHs tends to indicate intense conviction among core believers. When long-term 
owners remain in place, price drops tend to be more subtle. Buyers who have 
hung on for years or months typically view dips as opportunity to add rather 
than times to sell. Bitcoin was trading around $114,113 at press time 
following a pullback from recent highs of about $118K. The daily Relative 
Strength Index had fallen to 43, indicating a loss of bullish momentum without 
going into oversold levels. On-Balance Volume has been declining in the past 
week, indicating weakening buying pressure. Related Reading: More Work, Less 
Reward: Bitcoin Mining Toughens As Price Sinks To $113K Market Cooling Doesn’t 
Mean Collapse Reports have disclosed that this mix of signals fits a market 
that’s cooling rather than crashing. Traders are taking profits, yet they 
aren’t rushing for the exits. The overall picture points to a maturing market 
that still has room to run but won’t likely repeat the manic swings of years 
past. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Slow And Steady: Bitcoin’s Current Rise Feels Different—Study

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