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potential triple-digit price rally.

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CME’s launch of XRP futures has surged past $542 million in trading volume, 
signaling rising global demand and fueling bullish projections for crypto 
markets into 2025. XRP Futures Surge on CME, Reinforcing Optimistic 2025 
Projections Across Finance A month into its debut, XRP futures have sparked a 
new wave of institutional and retail interest in […]

XRP Futures on CME Signal Strong 2025 Outlook With Surging Institutional Adoption

In a post on 27 June, crypto-market chartist Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX) warned that 
Bitcoin’s ostensibly bullish weekly structure may be concealing a latent “time 
bomb” that could detonate if bulls fail to force a decisive breakout over the 
next three to four weeks. The technician’s diagnosis hinges on a classic 
Ichimoku paradox: an expanding bullish kumo and a flat Kijun Sen on the weekly 
timeframe are clustering with a constellation of bearish warnings on the daily 
and two-day charts. Bitcoin Faces A July Time Bomb “Look at the weekly kumo: 
it’s expanding, widening,” Dr Cat began. “This means that bullish momentum is 
building for potential trend sustainability even though the trend is not 
active as Kijun Sen is flat.” The observation is significant because an 
enlarging kumo—formed by the Senkou Span A/B envelope—generally represents 
thickening support, making sudden breakdowns statistically less probable as 
long as the cloud keeps widening. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top In? 
Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer At the same time, the Chikou Span (CS) is 
“above the candles without a gap,” but, Dr Cat cautioned, it has “4 weeks 
deadline to close above ATH or will enter the candles.” Should the lagging 
line be absorbed back into price, the textbook interpretation is a loss of 
bullish conviction at the largest visible scale. That ostensibly constructive 
weekly backdrop contrasts starkly with a “lot of red flags on the daily 
hinting for a bearish scenario which can escalate on many levels.” Among those 
alarms is the prospect of a death TK cross on the two-day chart, anticipated 
“tonight,” in which the Tenkan Sen slips below the Kijun Sen—often the prelude 
to a down-leg when it materialises beneath the cloud. “So how do you interpret 
such conflicting information from different timeframes?” the analyst asked 
rhetorically, underscoring that traders who privilege only a single interval 
risk being blindsided. Dr Cat’s answer is a roadmap defined by time. Because 
the weekly cloud continues expanding, “it is hard for the price to dump a lot” 
immediately; historically, the kumo “needs first to become flat.” The 
flattening mechanism is mechanical: if Bitcoin fails to record a fresh all- 
time high “in 2 weeks from now,” roughly by the week that begins 14 July, the 
leading Senkou Span A numerator will stop rising, truncating cloud expansion. 
That in turn opens a window for gravity to reassert itself on the higher 
timeframe. Against that backdrop the analyst offered two conditional 
trajectories. First scenario: bearish signals on the lower charts mature. “The 
price will likely need at least 1.5 month or so for a very big dump on the 
weekly scale, because the weekly kumo will keep expanding for 2 more weeks,” 
Dr Cat wrote. During that holding period the market could “range around / just 
do small dumps to the $90s,” a reference to the high-$90 000 zone that has 
defined range lows since late spring. Should this grind continue beyond the 
second half of July without a structural shift on daily Ichimoku metrics, 
weekly momentum would invert: the kumo would cease expanding and the CS would 
dive into prior candles, removing two of the most durable layers of longer- 
term support. Related Reading: Top Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Peak Timeline 
And ‘Double Cycle Blowoff’ Second scenario: bulls seize the initiative. To 
“save the chart from the warning signs,” buyers must engineer “a higher high 
above the $110,600 high shortly after the 27th of June,” thereby invalidating 
the bearish daily setup and re-energising the top-down trend. Time is 
critical: after “the week starting on 14th of July,” the CS will approach 
prior candlesticks, making each subsequent failure to print a new high 
proportionally more damaging. Dr Cat locates a final decision node on “the 
Sunday of the week starting on the 14th of July”—20 July—when the interplay 
between a stalling cloud and an in-candle CS could arm an additional set of 
“red flags for bulls.” The post stops short of assigning explicit probability 
weightings to either outcome, but its construction implies that the market’s 
most consequential catalyst in mid-summer may not be macro data or ETF flows 
so much as a self-reflexive technical countdown visible to every chart-watcher 
who uses Ichimoku. With roughly three weeks remaining before the cloud loses 
upward curvature, participants must choose between forcing a breakout above 
$110,600 or bracing for a higher-time-frame correction that could test 
sub-$100 000 territory. Whether Bitcoin’s expanding cloud proves a shield or a 
trap is, by Dr Cat’s own framing, “hidden in plain sight.” For now, the 
bullish weekly silhouette buys bulls breathing-room, but the daily and two-day 
warnings ensure that every hour the asset trades side-ways the theoretical 
time bomb ticks louder. At press time, BTC traded at $106,778. Featured image 
created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Analyst Spots Bitcoin Time Bomb Hidden In Bullish Weekly Chart

Bitcoin trades near key support at $104,000, but weak volume, fading onchain 
metrics, and sticky inflation point to more price consolidation.

Bitcoin price holds range but needs fresh demand to break higher

Bitcoin returned to its familiar price range over the week after a dip last 
weekend brought its price to just under $99,000. This was followed by a bounce 
to the $106,000 price level, which has given bulls a reason to remain hopeful. 
However, on-chain data shows some deeper cracks are forming beneath the 
surface. The latest on-chain data from analytics firm Glassnode shows growing 
signs of fatigue in both spot and futures markets. These are conditions that 
may again cause Bitcoin price to retest $99,000. Price Support Holds, But 
Momentum is Clearly Fading Bitcoin has gone through multiple price swings in 
recent days, but it has found its way back to the narrow $100,000 to $110,000 
band that has defined market structure since early May. On-chain data from 
Glassnode shows that strong accumulation between $93,000 and $100,000, which 
is visible on the Cumulative Volume Delta (CBD) Heatmap, has so far served as 
a buffer zone that helped Bitcoin&#8217;s prices bounce during the most recent 
geopolitical volatility. However, market volume indicates that this structural 
support may soon face additional pressure. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Top 
In? Bitcoin MVRV-Score Has The Answer According to the latest weekly report by 
Glassnode, investor profitability and engagement surrounding Bitcoin are 
cooling rapidly. Specifically, a third major wave of profit-taking is causing 
the 30-day realized profit average to taper, and on-chain activity has 
decreased significantly. The 7-day moving average of on-chain transfer volume 
has dropped by about 32%, from a peak of $76 billion in late May to $52 
billion over the recent weekend. Current spot volume trading, which is now at 
just $7.7 billion, is far below the volumes seen during previous rallies. The 
lack of strong buying enthusiasm on the spot market shows that bullish 
sentiment has been replaced by caution. As such, the risk of a breakdown below 
$99,000 grows unless another wave of demand re-enters. Futures Market Also 
Cooling Off The slowdown in sentiment is not limited to the spot market. 
Although Bitcoin is attracting interest on derivatives exchanges, there are 
clear signs that futures sentiment is waning. Open interest dropped by 7% over 
the weekend, from 360,000 BTC to 334,000 BTC, and funding rates have been 
declining steadily since Bitcoin hit its Q1 2025 all-time high. Related 
Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Rally To $110,000 ATH As These Macroeconomic 
Factors Align Futures market participants had been very active through 
Bitcoin’s climb to $111,800 in May, but their conviction appears to be fading 
now. A further indication of a growing reluctance to hold long positions is 
the sharp decline in both the annualized funding rate and the 3-month rolling 
basis. Without stronger directional conviction, the futures markets may not 
provide the upside needed to push Bitcoin to new highs. This situation may 
instead contribute to additional downward pressure. So far, Bitcoin has 
respected the $93,000 to $100,000 support zone, which was heavily accumulated 
during the Q1 2025 top formation. However, with low spot volumes, on-chain 
activity slowing, and fading futures sentiment, this support could become 
tested again. If market participants with a cost basis in this zone begin to 
sell, the resulting pressure could drag Bitcoin below $99,000 again next week. 
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,100. Featured image from 
Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com