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The price of Dogecoin continues to bleed, and crypto analyst Kevin 
(@Kev_Capital_TA) warns that the worst may still lie ahead. Citing an earlier 
bearish pattern, Kevin emphasized over the weekend that Dogecoin’s Head and 
Shoulders formation—identified nearly two weeks ago—is rapidly approaching its 
technical “measured move” target. But he also made it clear that the full 
downside potential has not yet played out. Dogecoin Collapse Far From Over? “I 
didn’t say we are there now,” Kevin clarified in a follow-up post, “the orange 
circle represents a zone of where the measured move could go, with a precise 
measured move target of the .786 fib at .119.” This $0.119 level aligns with a 
broader confluence of technical supports that are quickly becoming critical 
for DOGE’s structure. “The Head n Shoulders I pointed out on Dogecoin almost a 
couple of weeks ago is almost at its measured move target range. Certain daily 
indicators are also starting to enter inciting levels. Watching closely along 
with BTC and USDT Dominance for further confirmations,” he wrote. Kevin also 
highlighted the importance of the weekly 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) and 
Exponential Moving Average (EMA), along with the macro .382 Fibonacci 
retracement and a long-term descending trendline. Related Reading: Crypto 
Analyst Predicts $4 Dogecoin After Exhausted Selling Phase Together, these 
levels form what he described as the “must-hold” zone, specifically between 
$0.1434 and $0.1265. A sustained breakdown below that region would likely 
confirm a macro bearish shift for the meme asset. What To Monitor Now Zooming 
out, Kevin sees Dogecoin’s fate as inseparably tied to Bitcoin and the wider 
altcoin market, which he describes as being in its weakest state in years. “So 
far 2025 has been more bearish for altcoins than 2024 and 2023,” he noted. 
“Worst year for Alts since the bear market in 2022.” The overwhelming strength 
of Bitcoin’s dominance has been a key factor in that trend. That dominance, 
Kevin argues, is not a temporary spike. “Fresh highs for BTC Dominance on the 
back of restrictive monetary policy and an uncertain geopolitical 
environment,” he wrote, referring to global macro conditions including 
persistent quantitative tightening (QT). He has long warned that without a 
pivot in central bank policy, any talk of a true “altseason” is premature. 
Related Reading: Dogecoin Looks Like ‘It Wants To Play Dead’—Again “Been 
saying since late 2023, early 2024—when AI coins were running crazy and people 
were saying it was #Altseason—that until QT ends and the terminal rate comes 
down, you will not see real sustainable altcoin outperformance. That continues 
to hold true.” His caution extends well beyond Dogecoin. In previous posts, 
Kevin identified key danger zones for Bitcoin and Ethereum, which he argues 
must be reclaimed to prevent broader market deterioration. “As long as BTC 
cannot break the $106.8K level and show real follow-through on 3D-1W time 
frames, then the market is in real danger,” he wrote. “Same for ETH not being 
able to break the $2700-2800 level.” For Dogecoin traders, the message is 
clear. The meme coin’s fate rests not just on its own technical health, but on 
a wider macro and intermarket structure that remains fragile. As long as 
Bitcoin struggles to hold above key breakout levels and US monetary conditions 
remain tight, the probability of a deeper Dogecoin correction remains high. 
Whether DOGE can stabilize above the $0.1265 level will be closely watched by 
traders in the days and weeks ahead. A loss of that zone, especially in 
conjunction with renewed Bitcoin weakness, could mark the beginning of a 
deeper and more painful phase for the once-beloved meme coin. At press time, 
DOGE traded at $0.152. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from 
TradingView.com

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