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The higher-timeframe momentum gauges for Dogecoin are quietly resetting, and 
two widely followed chartists say the setup that preceded DOGE’s biggest 
advances is close to reappearing. In a new monthly chart, Kevin 
(@Kev_Capital_TA) stacks three market cycles and highlights a repeating 
structure: long, descending consolidations that resolve into impulsive 
breakouts, followed by measured Fibonacci 1.618 extension targets penciled far 
above the range. One Trigger Could Ignite Dogecoin’s Cycle Surge The present 
cycle has already cleared its multi-month falling wedge on the 1-month chart 
and, critically, completed a clean throwback: price pushed through the 
descending trendline, retested it from above, and turned higher, converting 
former resistance into support. On Kevin’s canvas, DOGE trades in the ~$0.23 
area on the monthly scale, sitting beneath layered horizontal supply bands but 
above the wedge ceiling that capped it through the consolidation. Related 
Reading: Dogecoin Crash Incoming? Analyst Warns Bulls Are Out Of Time Momentum 
is the hinge of Kevin’s thesis. “Anytime we saw Monthly Stoch RSI crosses on 
#ogecoin outside of the bear market along with an uptrending Monthly RSI 
ultimately lead to massive rallies to the upside,” he writes. He adds that 
“the goal is to get the StochRSI to cross the 20 level and show follow through 
as anything below that level is a sign of weak momentum. Currently crossing to 
the upside and at the 13 level.” His lower panel draws a rising diagonal on 
the 1-month RSI—explicitly labeled “Higher Lows on 1M RSI”—to underscore that 
longer-term momentum troughs have been stepping up even as price coiled inside 
the wedge. Kevin also reiterates the inter-market backdrop he’s watching: “If 
BTC can move higher and not putter out on us and we ultimately get ETH into 
price discovery with a dropping BTC Dominance then like I have said before 
DOGE’s biggest move of the cycle is likely. Just need a little more time and 
for BTC and the macro to support the move. That’s the reality not engagement 
farming hopium.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Stalls Near $0.22: Analysts Say a 
Major Breakout Pattern Could Be Forming With the structural breakout and 
retest in hand, the remaining confirmation on his checklist is mechanical—see 
the monthly StochRSI reclaim and hold above 20 while the monthly RSI preserves 
its pattern of higher lows. On targets, Kevin has previously mapped an 
aggressive trio of Fibonacci extensions above the last cycle’s peak: 1.618 at 
$3.97, 1.65 at $4.33, and 1.703 at $5.00. In prior cycles on the same 
template, wedge resolutions were followed by vertical expansion toward 
comparable 1.618 objectives; these three levels now serve as forward waypoints 
should trend acceleration resume. Ichimoku Cloud Analysis For DOGE A 
complementary, mid-cycle lens from Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) uses 2-week 
candles with Ichimoku Cloud to track the transition. “It’s doing more or less 
what I thought it would do from 2 months ago,” he notes, “where it bounced off 
the cloud, reclaiming Tenkan (blue line) as support, and is trying to launch 
itself above the green Ichimoku cloud on the right.” In Ichimoku terms, that 
sequence—cloud bounce, Tenkan regain, then an attempt to clear the top of the 
forward green cloud—aligns with a shift from corrective to trending conditions 
on the 2-week timeframe and dovetails with Kevin’s higher-timeframe momentum 
trigger. Taken together, the two studies narrow the focus to a clear condition 
set. Tactically, the 2-week chart is pressing the cloud top after reclaiming 
the Tenkan as support. And cyclically, the 1-month StochRSI is curling up from 
~13 toward the threshold Kevin considers decisive at 20 while the 1-month RSI 
maintains a series of higher lows. If those momentum thresholds are secured 
against a supportive majors tape—firmer BTC, ETH in discovery, and declining 
BTC dominance—the Fibonacci extensions at $3.97, $4.33, and $5.00 could be 
DOGE’s price targets for this cycle. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.223. 
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Biggest Dogecoin Cycle Explosion Looms If This Trigger Fires: Analyst

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