A crypto analyst known as CrypFlow has outlined what he believes will certify 
the true start of the next Bitcoin bull run. According to the analyst, the 
flip into a bullish run does not begin at the bottom but only after key 
technical confirmations appear on the chart. His analysis points to three 
conditions that must be met before this new cycle can be considered in play. 
Bitcoin is currently trading at $71,750, up by 4.3% in the past 24 hours. The 
past trading day has been highlighted by some bullish momentum, which even saw 
the Bitcoin price reach an intra-day high of $72,379, according to price data 
from CoinGecko. Why CrypFlow Says The Bottom Is Not The Start However, when 
looking at the long-term price action, Bitcoin is still down by about 43% from 
its October 2025 peak of $126,000. Crypto market participants are divided as 
to whether the bottom is already in and the decline has ended and whether 
there is still more downside price action ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin PMI 
Says This Is Not A Peak, Here’s What It Is CrypFlow, on the other hand, 
separates the bottom from the start of a bull run. According to the analyst, 
the bottom is simply where price stops falling, but that does not mean the 
broader trend has reversed. What matters is confirmation that Bitcoin is no 
longer behaving like it is in a bear market. The chart shared by the analyst 
highlights how the 50-week SMA and the -14 wave trend level have repeatedly 
acted as dividing lines between bearish and bullish conditions. Back in 2021, 
Bitcoin’s cycle top was followed by a breakdown below both levels, which 
preceded the 2022 bear market. When transitioning out of the 2022 bear market, 
the recovery that followed did not immediately lead to a new bull run. 
Instead, the flip into bullish mood became clear only after Bitcoin broke its 
long-term downtrend and reclaimed both indicators. A similar structure is 
visible in the current cycle. Bitcoin has rejected its 2025 peak and is 
trading below a descending trendline, while the price is below the 50-week 
SMA. Furthermore, the wave trend indicator is still below the -14 threshold. 
As long as these conditions persist, then the Bitcoin price will still be in a 
corrective or bearish environment, even if there are short-term rallies. What 
Needs To Happen Before The Bull Run Starts According to the analyst, three 
conditions must be met before calling the start of a new bull cycle. First, 
Bitcoin must break above the descending trendline from its cycle top. Second, 
it must reclaim the -14 level on the wave trend indicator. Finally, the price 
must move back above the 50-week SMA. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin 
And Ethereum Prices Could Keep Crashing This Week These signals worked 
together in the previous cycle for the transition into an extended rally. 
Until they appear again, any recovery in price will be unconfirmed. Keeping in 
mind that the 50 SMA is a lagging indicator, the goal is not to identify the 
bottom. It is to confirm the cycle has turned. Featured image from Pngtree, 
chart from Tradingview.com

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