Ethereum’s price crash leaves ETH stuck in a firm downtrend, with negative 
flows and weak momentum making a sustained reclaim of $3,000 in February 
increasingly unlikely. Ethereum’s (ETH) price and latest selloff has left 
investors nursing losses and staring down…

Ethereum price crash: What can investors expect in February 2026?

Bitcoin is struggling to stabilize around the $75,000 level as broader market 
weakness continues to weigh on price action. After weeks of sustained selling 
pressure, volatility has compressed, but confidence has not yet returned. 
Traders remain cautious, liquidity is thinner, and upside attempts have so far 
failed to gain traction. The current environment reflects a market searching 
for equilibrium rather than signaling a clear reversal. Related Reading: 
Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Reach 22% – Still No Capitulation Phase According to 
On-Chain Mind, assessing whether Bitcoin is approaching a bear market bottom 
requires shifting focus away from short-term price moves and toward structural 
stress across the network. In prior cycles, true capitulation did not occur 
until the majority of participants were deeply underwater. This condition is 
captured by the Cap Loss Ratio, a metric that compares Realized Cap—Bitcoin’s 
aggregate cost basis—to Market Cap. When the ratio spikes, it reflects 
widespread unrealized losses and collective pain across holders. Historically, 
these spikes have coincided with moments of maximum pessimism, when forced 
selling, exhausted demand, and broad capitulation aligned to form durable 
bottoms. The key question now is whether the current drawdown is sufficient to 
trigger that level of stress, or if further downside is required to fully 
reset the market. With Bitcoin hovering near critical support, On-Chain Mind 
poses the central question facing investors today: are we approaching a bear 
market bottom, or is the market still early in its capitulation phase? Cap 
Loss Ratio Signals Capitulation Still Ahead On-Chain Mind notes that the 
historical behavior of the Cap Loss Ratio provides a useful framework for 
judging where Bitcoin may sit within a bear market cycle. In previous 
downturns, the metric reached progressively lower peak levels as the market 
matured. During the 2015 bear market, the Cap Loss Ratio spiked above 0.5, 
reflecting extreme network-wide distress and deep, prolonged capitulation. In 
the 2018–2019 cycle, the peak was lower, around 0.4, while the 2022 bear 
market topped out closer to 0.3. This steady reduction in peak stress suggests 
diminishing severity across cycles, likely driven by a more diversified holder 
base, stronger long-term conviction, and improved market infrastructure. If 
this pattern continues, On-Chain Mind argues that final capitulation in the 
current cycle would most likely occur with the Cap Loss Ratio somewhere 
between 0.1 and 0.2. Crucially, the market has not reached that zone yet. 
Current readings imply that while significant pain has already been absorbed, 
aggregate losses across the network are still below levels historically 
associated with definitive bottoms. The market faces additional downside and 
further stress before it reaches a full reset. At the same time, history shows 
that the 0.1–0.2 range has often marked areas where long-term, high-conviction 
entries emerge. These zones tend to coincide with maximum pessimism, declining 
participation, and forced selling exhaustion. For investors focused on 
structure rather than short-term price action, this framework helps define 
where risk remains elevated—and where generational opportunities have 
previously formed. Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Profit-Taking Collapses: Is 
Smart Money Done Selling? Bitcoin Tests Critical Support as Weekly Trend 
Weakens Bitcoin is trading near the $75,000 area after a sharp rejection from 
higher levels, confirming a clear shift in market structure on the weekly 
timeframe. The chart reveals that BTC has decisively broken the rising trend 
previously sustained by the 50-week moving average. Price is now trading below 
both the 50-week (blue) and the 100-week (green) moving averages. This 
historically signals a transition from trend continuation into a corrective or 
distributive phase. The recent breakdown followed a failed attempt to reclaim 
the $90,000–$95,000 zone. Which previously acted as support and has now 
flipped into resistance. This failure accelerated selling pressure and pushed 
the price toward the $74,000–$75,000 region. A level that coincides with prior 
consolidation and psychological support. Related Reading: Ethereum Experiences 
Broad Long Squeeze Across Derivatives Exchanges: Can Bulls Hold $2,300? 
Despite the weakness, Bitcoin remains above the 200-week moving average (red), 
which continues to slope upward and currently sits well below the price. From 
a long-term perspective, this confirms that the macro uptrend remains intact. 
However, momentum clearly favors the downside in the medium term. If $74,000 
fails to hold, the chart indicates a deeper retracement toward the low 
$60,000s, where stronger historical demand resides. Conversely, any recovery 
attempt must first reclaim the 100-week moving average to shift the structure 
back toward neutrality. For now, the chart reflects a market under pressure, 
testing whether buyers are willing to defend this critical zone. Featured 
image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Are We Near A Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom? History Offers A Framework

What to Know: The Coinbase Premium Index has hit yearly lows, indicating that 
US institutions and ETFs are selling Bitcoin while global retail keeps buying. 
Institutional selling often triggers a capital rotation into high-growth 
sectors like Artificial Intelligence rather than a complete market exit. SUBBD 
Token utilizes Web3 and AI voice cloning to disrupt the creator economy, 
offering a decentralized alternative to high-fee platforms. Despite macro 
headwinds, the project has raised over $1.47 million, driven by a 20% staking 
APY and strong utility narratives. The &#8216;Coinbase Premium&#8217; has long been the 
crypto market’s favorite fever thermometer. It measures the spread between 
Bitcoin prices on Coinbase Pro, the playground for US institutions, and 
Binance, which is dominated by global retail traders. Right now, that metric 
is flashing a warning sign. The premium has dipped to yearly lows, flipping 
negative for extended periods. That matters. It suggests that US institutional 
capital, the very engine behind the recent ETF rally, is actively de-risking 
while global retail investors are left holding the bag. When the &#8220;smart money&#8221; 
in the US starts selling into strength, it typically foreshadows a period of 
sideways chop or a correction for major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The 
gap indicates that the relentless bid from spot ETFs might be exhausted. For 
now, anyway. But crypto markets abhor a vacuum. When capital rotates out of 
blue-chip assets due to macro stagnation, it doesn&#8217;t just evaporate; liquidity 
is hydraulic. It flows toward sectors with stronger idiosyncratic growth 
narratives. Currently? That narrative is Artificial Intelligence. While 
Bitcoin struggles with overhead resistance and institutional sell pressure, 
the appetite for low-cap AI utility tokens is accelerating. Investors are 
looking past the macro noise toward projects solving tangible infrastructure 
problems in high-growth industries. This rotation explains why, despite the 
bearish signals from the Coinbase Premium, emerging projects like SUBBD Token 
($SUBBD) are decoupling from general market sentiment and attracting liquidity 
by targeting the $85B creator economy. You can buy $SUBBD here. SUBBD Deploys 
AI to Disrupt the $85 Billion Creator Economy The content creation sector is 
massive, yet the economics are frankly broken. Platforms currently extract up 
to 70% of creator revenue while enforcing arbitrary bans and geographical 
restrictions. SUBBD Token ($SUBBD) is positioning itself as the architectural 
fix to this imbalance, merging Web3 financial sovereignty with advanced AI 
tooling. The project’s core proposition isn&#8217;t merely lower fees, though that’s 
obviously a draw, but the integration of an &#8216;AI Personal Assistant&#8217; that 
automates creator interactions and workflow. For investors, the utility is 
straightforward: SUBBD Token serves as the transactional fuel for a 
decentralized ecosystem. It allows creators to mint AI voice clones and create 
AI-driven influencers, opening new revenue streams that don&#8217;t rely on the 
creator being physically present 24/7. This touches on a critical pain point 
in the gig economy, scaling human time. By tokenizing access to exclusive 
content and utilizing EVM-compatible smart contracts, the platform removes the 
middleman risk that plagues Web2 alternatives. Plus, the platform’s approach 
to governance suggests a shift toward user-owned infrastructure, where token 
holders (rather than corporate boardrooms) vote on features and creator 
curation. Explore the SUBBD Token ecosystem. Presale Data Defies Macro Trends 
With $1.4M Raised While the broader market watches the Coinbase Premium with 
anxiety, SUBBD Token has generated significant early traction. According to 
official data, the project has raised over $1.4M, pushing through milestones 
that many legacy altcoins are struggling to hit in this environment. The 
current token price sits at $0.05749, a figure that early entrants are eyeing 
closely before the next scheduled price appreciation. The divergence between 
the project&#8217;s inflow and the institutional outflow seen in Bitcoin highlights 
a specific risk appetite. Retail and sophisticated DeFi investors are locking 
in positions in protocols that offer yield during choppy market conditions. 
SUBBD Token offers a fixed 20% APY for the first year of staking. This high- 
yield incentive structure encourages long-term holding, reducing circulating 
supply velocity when the token eventually hits public markets. The combination 
of a low entry price, significant capital raise, and a clear AI-narrative fit 
suggests that while institutions may be selling Bitcoin, they&#8217;re likely 
missing the rotation into application-layer utility. Check out the $SUBBD 
presale now. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and 
does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, including 
presales, carry inherent risks. Always perform your own due diligence and 
consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Coinbase Premium Hits Yearly Lows Signaling Institutional Exit, While AI Project SUBBD Surges Past $1.4M

Bhutan-linked wallets controlled by Druk Holding &amp; Investments (DHI) moved 
more than 284 bitcoin worth roughly $22 million over the past week, according 
to on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence. The activity places fresh focus on 
the Himalayan nation’s growing role…

Bhutan moves $22M in Bitcoin as Arkham flags patterned BTC sales

Bitcoin selling pressure sparked a retreat below the 2021 bull market high, 
with lower BTC price targets still expected to be hit.

Cryptocurrency price in USD