A rare Bitcoin bottom signal from 2023 has flashed again, but the 2026 
macroeconomic backdrop calls its validity into question. Can BTC price defy 
the odds?

Bitcoin bottom fractal calls for 130% rally, but is the model valid in 2026?

South Korea’s National Tax Service (NTS) accidentally published a 
cryptocurrency wallet’s recovery phrase in a Feb. 26 press release, enabling 
the temporary transfer of roughly $4.8 million in seized tokens before the 
assets were returned hours later. NTS Press Release Leak Leads to $4.8M Token 
Transfer in Seoul South Korea’s NTS disclosed a cryptocurrency wallet’s […]

South Korea’s National Tax Service Publishes Seed Phrase Photo, Sparks Wallet Breach

A recent evaluation has surfaced that reveals that Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term holders 
are slowly easing away from their deep profits, and that this could affect 
prices in either way, depending on further developments. Related Reading: The 
Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The 
Tape Long-Term Holder Average Monthly SOPR Slips Under 1 In a recent QuickTake 
post on CryptoQuant, a pseudonymous on-chain analyst, Darkfost, reveals that 
Bitcoin&#8217;s long-term holders are entering a fragile phase in the current cycle. 
This post is based on readings obtained from the BTC: Long-Term Holders (LTH) 
SOPR metric, which tracks if coins moved by Long-Term Holders are done 
profitably, or at a loss. A SOPR value above 1 reflects that holders of this 
category are, on average, realizing profits, while a reading below 1 signals 
that these coins are being moved at a loss. According to Darkfost, the current 
readings from the SOPR metric have fallen under the critical 1 level, and 
currently sit around 0.98 This is a sign that Bitcoin&#8217;s LTHs, which are 
typically the strongest investor hands in the market, are beginning to realize 
losses on a monthly basis. Interestingly, the scenario is somewhat different 
on the annual timeframe. Related Reading: XRP Emerging As Safe Haven? CEO 
Points To Steady Inflows As BTC, ETH Struggle Annual LTH SOPR Still Positive, 
But Trend Is Falling — Analyst Darkfost further highlights that, although the 
monthly timeframe leans towards the red zone, the annualized SOPR still sits 
well into positive territory, with readings at approximately 1.84. According 
to the analyst, this represents about 84% in average realized gains, by 
implication. However, the annualized profits have taken on a downward trend 
and have been slowly falling. Notably, the LTH SOPR has not gone higher than 
3.4 on the charts throughout the current cycle, a value that is approximately 
half the readings seen in the previous cycle’s peak. Interestingly, this is 
also less than four times the peak of the two previous cycles, suggesting a 
less impulsive distribution among this investor cohort. Furthermore, Darkfost 
conjures historical data, showing that bear markets have formed only after the 
SOPR dropped towards the 0.6 region, a level that correlates with average 
realized losses of approximately 40%. Hence, while the current reading on the 
metric is below 1 every month, it is still far from the zone representing 
capitulation. For now, the Long-term holders have entered what seems to be a 
transitional phase. In the scenario where Long-Term Holder realized profits 
continue to fade, selling pressure might in turn erode from this side. As of 
this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at a valuation of approximately 
$64,247, reflecting a loss of 4.85% over the past day. Featured image from 
iStock, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Enters Fragile Phase As Annual LTH Realized Profits Taper — Details

Bitcoin&#8217;s future hinges on retail interest as institutional access fails to 
spark a market revival.
The post Lyn Alden: Bitcoin&#8217;s four-year cycle is evolving, retail participation remains muted, and integration into finance is crucial for global adoption | The Wolf Of All Streets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Lyn Alden: Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is evolving, retail participation remains muted, and integration into finance is crucial for global adoption | The Wolf Of All Streets

Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) paused their multi-day inflow streak with 
a $27.5 million outflow on Friday, while ether funds lost $43 million. XRP and 
Solana ETFs continued to attract modest inflows. Crypto ETFs See Mixed Friday 
as Bitcoin and Ether Turn Red The rally finally took a breather. After three 
trading sessions of steady gains, […]

Cryptocurrency price in USD