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Bitcoin price is moving higher above $116,200. BTC is now consolidating and 
might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $116,850 resistance zone. Bitcoin 
started a fresh increase above the $116,000 zone. The price is trading below 
$116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a 
contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the 
BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if 
it clears the $116,850 zone. Bitcoin Price Hits Resistance Bitcoin price 
started a fresh upward wave above the $114,500 zone. BTC managed to climb 
above the $115,000 and $115,500 resistance levels. The bulls were able to push 
the price above $116,200 and $116,500. Besides, there was a break above a 
contracting triangle with resistance at $115,750 on the hourly chart of the 
BTC/USD pair. The price traded as high as $116,959 and is currently 
consolidating gains. It is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the 
recent move from the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. Bitcoin is now 
trading above $116,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate 
resistance on the upside is near the $116,850 level. The first key resistance 
is near the $117,200 level. The next resistance could be $117,500. A close 
above the $117,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the 
stated case, the price could rise and test the $118,400 resistance level. Any 
more gains might send the price toward the $118,800 level. The next barrier 
for the bulls could be $119,250. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to 
rise above the $116,850 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. 
Immediate support is near the $116,250 level. The first major support is near 
the $115,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from 
the $114,156 swing low to the $116,959 high. The next support is now near the 
$115,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $114,500 
support in the near term. The main support sits at $112,500, below which BTC 
might decline heavily. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now 
gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The 
RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $115,550, 
followed by $115,200. Major Resistance Levels – $116,850 and $117,200.

Bitcoin Price Back at Resistance – Fed Meeting Could Trigger Big Move

With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a 
closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for 
navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published 
on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both 
long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k 
and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain 
BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into 
September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close 
that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, kept price above 
$112k. “This is now the line in the sand for short-term bullishness,” he 
writes, warning that a weekly close back below would reopen the route to 
July’s local lows around $107k and, in a deeper flush, the $99k swing low. To 
the upside, he highlights $117.5k as the next inflection; a clean acceptance 
over $120k would set up a swift run at all-time highs, where $123k is the 
first major cap on the daily timeframe. Into the event, his directional bias 
remains conditional rather than dogmatic. On the long side, he favors a 
liquidity sweep early in the week: “On the long side you want to see a sharp 
flush lower… into $113.5k, where you could layer bids with invalidation on a 
daily close below $112k,” aiming for a reaction back to $117.5k (TP1) and 
$119k (TP2) into the FOMC. Related Reading: Analyst Raises Red Flags On 
Bitcoin Price: Allegations Of Market Manipulation Conversely, if BTC grinds 
higher without that flush, his short plan is to “short above $119k pre-FOMC,” 
then “add… on acceptance back below $117.5k post-FOMC,” with $112k as the 
first target and scope to trail for lower lows if structure weakens. The 
trader concedes the next couple of weeks are “a lot more unclear… with many 
variables,” but his base case still envisions “the second half of Q4 will be 
very strong.” The setup lands as BTC churns around $115k ahead of the 
decision—a zone multiple analysts have framed as pivotal. Heading into the 
weekly close, market commentary stressed that a sustained reclaim of ~$114k is 
a prerequisite for renewed momentum, with one widely tracked technician 
arguing, “The goal isn’t for Bitcoin to break $117k… The goal is for Bitcoin 
to reclaim $114k into support first.” Over the weekend and into Tuesday, BTC’s 
price action remained pinned in that band, keeping both the upside break 
toward $119k–$123k and the downside sweep into $113.5k–$112k on the table. 
Related Reading: Bitcoin Set For Short Squeeze Before Long Trap In October 
Macro context heightens the stakes. Markets broadly expect the Fed to cut its 
policy rate by 25 bps on September 17, shifting the target range from 4.50% to 
4.25%—a baseline Nik explicitly builds into his calendar. Yet traders are 
equally focused on Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance and the updated “dot plot,” 
which will shape the path for additional cuts into year-end. While a cut is 
priced, the tone—whether the Fed signals a shallow or accelerated easing 
path—could be the catalyst that resolves BTC’s tight $114k–$119k coil. 
Positioning provides further texture to Nik’s plan. He flags three-month 
annualized basis and the split between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, 
along with concentrated one-week and one-month liquidation pockets just below 
spot and above the recent range highs—context for why he prefers either 
reactive longs on a downside flush or fades into strength near $119k–$120k if 
derivatives chase the move. The framework leans heavily on 
acceptance/rejection around well-defined levels rather than attempting to 
front-run the policy outcome itself. Bottom line: in the Ostium playbook, 
bulls want a controlled dip that holds $112k on a daily closing basis and then 
forces a reclaim of $117.5k on the way to $119k–$123k; bears get their best 
shot if price runs late into $119k–$120k pre-FOMC and then loses $117.5k on 
the reaction. With BTC glued to the mid-$110ks and the market already bracing 
for a quarter-point cut, the catalyst may come down to Powell’s nuance. At 
press time, BTC traded at $115,427. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart 
from TradingView.com

How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC, Top Analyst Reveals

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Ethereum rallied again this week as fresh institutional demand and heavy ETF 
inflows pushed traders to consider higher price paths. Related Reading: XRP’s 
Biggest Rally Yet? Analyst Projects $20+ In October 2025 According to market 
reports, some analysts now see a possible run toward $8,500 if current buying 
continues and macro conditions remain calm. Institutional Flows Drive Interest 
Based on reports, one day of ETF inflows was reported at close to $730 
million, a figure that traders said helped limit selling pressure and lift 
market confidence. Standard Chartered has been cited with a year-end forecast 
of $7,500, while other market commentators and smaller research groups have 
floated targets as high as $8,500. That mix of big-name bank views and crypto- 
focused analysis is what is feeding the talk on an extended rally. After 
meeting the $4,811.71 target, prices of $ETH (Ethereum) pulled back but bull 
signal(s) have confirmed, suggesting movement back to and above this target 
level! With a break above this target, we could see an additional +77% run to 
$8,557.68… https://t.co/sDDNVSijoi pic.twitter.com/4uPpJHDsgS — JAVON⚡️MARKS 
(@JavonTM1) September 15, 2025 Technical Levels And On-Chain Signals Reports 
have disclosed technical setups that traders are watching closely. A pivot 
point near $4,811 was named by some analysts as the level that needs to clear 
for a larger advance to become more likely. Ethereum’s recent trading band has 
been roughly in the $4,400–$4,600 range in many charts, which means 
significant upside would be required to reach the lofty targets being 
discussed. What Would Need To Happen For $8,500 According to market 
commentary, several things would have to line up. Continued ETF inflows and 
steady institutional accumulation are key. Also important are clearer rules 
for ETF products and a soft macro backdrop that keeps risk appetite intact. 
Some analysts add that if Bitcoin moves higher — a move to roughly $150,000 
has been used in scenarios — Ethereum could gain as investors reallocate 
across major crypto assets. Risks That Would Halt The Rally News cautions that 
the $8,500 concept is built on several positive developments occurring 
simultaneously. Policy shifts, softer ETF demand, or a change in macro 
sentiment might also stop a rally in a hurry. Related Reading: Dogecoin Defies 
Odds, Jumps 21% Even As ETF Debut Gets Pushed Back Unless Layer 2 growth or 
network usage equates to increased mainnet demand, price appreciation may be 
capped. Regulation news in big markets also reverses flows rapidly. Meanwhile, 
forecasts span a broad range. Standard Chartered’s $7,500 view is on the 
higher side among big banks. Other companies provide more modest estimates, 
and smaller analysts suggest more bullish estimates up to $8,500. The 
disparity highlights the extent to which price targets are reliant on 
assumptions regarding flows, adoption, and macro considerations. Featured 
image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Cryptocurrency price in NOK