XRP has struggled to create any upside traction over the past few days, with 
the price rejecting above $2.15 in the middle of the week and now back to 
lingering just above the $2 level. A new long-term technical comparison shared 
by crypto analyst ChartNerd places XRP&#8217;s price behavior since its July all- 
time high of $3.65 into an interesting context, implying that what XRP is 
doing now resembles a phase from its 2016 market cycle that points to an 
incoming huge rally. Related Reading: American Bitcoin Makes Big Buy, Adds 416 
BTC To Its Stack Repeating 2016 Rejection And ABC Crash Structure According to 
crypto analyst ChartNerd, XRP’s current structure matches a similar price 
action that unfolded in late 2016. when price rejected an accumulation supply 
block and rolled into an ABC corrective move. That correction ultimately 
produced a 69% flash-wick decline that extended into the first quarter of 
2017. The drop was severe and unfolded over several months, eventually pushing 
XRP to as low as $0.00240, but it eventually represented the end of the 
correction rather than the end of the bullish cycle. The chart accompanying 
the analysis, which is shown below, highlights a similar rejection pattern 
forming now. This pattern is based on how the XRP price rejected at its most 
recent all-time high in July. Since then, the monthly price chart has been 
printing consecutive red candles, with monthly closes consistently below 
opens. At the time of writing, XRP is about a 44% correction from this all- 
time high. This means a 69% correction is yet to play out in its entirety. 
Therefore, if history repeats, a full 69% ABC-style move from the all-time 
high would drag XRP back below $1 and as low as $0.8. This move is expected to 
play out into the first quarter of 2026. XRP Price Chart. Source: @ChartNerdTA 
Potential Drop Could Be A Set-Up For A Much Larger Rally XRP is currently 
trading at $2.04. Therefore, a deeper pullback below $1 will translate to a 
51% decrease from the current price action. The idea of a deeper pullback from 
$2 is tough to imagine, especially given the inflows into Spot XRP ETFs. In 
fact, a pullback of that magnitude could test conviction across the market and 
cause many bullish traders to step aside. However, the technical analysis 
frames it as a structural reset rather than anything else. In 2017, the post- 
crash consolidation laid the groundwork for one of XRP’s most explosive 
rallies on record, ultimately delivering gains in excess of 110,000%. Related 
Reading: Is Dogecoin Waking Up? Critical On-Chain Metric Explodes Higher If 
this sequence plays out as expected, then the real bullish opportunity would 
develop later in 2026. From that reset zone, the chart projects a long-term 
advance to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, placing a potential upside target 
around $27. The visual projection in the chart above shows a clean multi-month 
expansion zone that delivers a 2,300% gain after the corrective phase. 
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP Mirrors 2016 Trend That Led To 69% Crash Before 110,000% Rally

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