Dogecoin’s drawdown may be closer to its late-stage “capitulation” phase than 
a clean bottom, according to crypto YouTuber VisionPulsed, who argued in a 
Feb. 8 video that lingering bullishness across Crypto Twitter and YouTube is 
itself a signal the market likely hasn’t inflicted enough pain yet. In his 
latest Dogecoin-focused update, VisionPulsed framed the setup less as a clean 
technical inflection and more as a familiar cycle pattern: retail optimism 
fades slowly, the final washout arrives when even perennial bulls lose their 
“fight,” and only then does a durable low tend to form. “More and more people 
are starting to get bearish and once we finally break this low I think that’s 
going to be when everyone says it’s bearish but it’s going to be too late 
because the bottom is probably going to be in soon,” he said. “So, the fact 
that there’s still people coming on YouTube saying that it’s still bullish, 
it&#8217;s that we haven&#8217;t gone down low enough.” Related Reading: Dogecoin At 
‘Cycle Reset’: Analyst Maps 5,500% Extension Toward $4 Is The Dogecoin Bear 
Market Bottom In? VisionPulsed repeatedly returned to what he called the 
market’s ability to “run the same play twice in a row,” arguing that the same 
bearish indicators can persist because each cycle brings a fresh cohort that 
resists the idea the move is over. He also suggested the incentive structure 
of crypto content can reinforce that dynamic, with creators leaning bullish 
because it sustains engagement, even as broader conditions deteriorate. “The 
reason I bring all this shenanigans in is because the fact that there’s still 
people that are still bullish shows why the market can do the same thing over 
and over again,” he said. “We have the same exact indicators and now instead 
of me saying we’re bullish, there’s other YouTubers that are still bullish… 
humans make the same mistakes over and over again.” On timing, VisionPulsed 
pointed to momentum tools — particularly the Stochastic RSI for Bitcoin on 
multiple timeframes (as a signal for the entire crypto market), as a guide for 
whether any countertrend rally is just a reset before another leg down. He 
warned against overconfidence in widely cited catalysts such as a CME gap, 
noting a similar setup appeared in May 2022, and stressed that rallies 
repeatedly “fizzle out” when Stoch RSI reaches overbought territory. If the 
market “plays nice,” he said, it could bounce into overbought levels and then 
roll into the next decline; if it doesn’t, a rollover could arrive without the 
clean overbought tag. Related Reading: Dogecoin Drops Below $0.09 as Market 
Weakness Outweighs Musk Hype He also argued that capitulation lows often 
coincide with a narrative shock, what he called a “black swan” headline that 
traders later treat as the cause, even if the market was already structurally 
headed lower. “Before the black swan, look for the black swan,” he said, 
pointing to past episodes he associated with prior lows, including the 
Terra/Luna collapse. He added that the emotional tone shift is often the tell: 
“Don’t be surprised if a lot of people say crypto’s over, crypto sucks… When 
that happens, that’s where the bottom is.” For Dogecoin specifically, 
VisionPulsed said historical bottoms have tended to align with RSI reaching 
oversold conditions, something he argues DOGE has not yet hit in the current 
downswing. “We’re one more leg down away from hitting oversold,” he said. “So, 
if I were a betting man, I think the next move down… should take Doge to 5 
cents.” He repeatedly caveated that he’s not calling an exact bottom, and 
allowed for scenarios where a later macro shock produces a second low, similar 
to the COVID-era pattern he referenced. Still, his base case was that the 
correction is “probably almost done,” with a larger rally expected after 
spring, while floating a much longer-dated view that Dogecoin’s “real bull 
run” could begin around July 2027. For now, his message to DOGE traders was 
straightforward: until momentum resets and sentiment fully breaks, the “bear 
market almost over” narrative may be premature and the next decisive move 
could be the one that finally forces capitulation. At press time, DOGE traded 
at $0.09345. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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