XRP looked increasingly bearish at $1.40, with a key indicator suggesting that 
a downward move below $1 was possible in the coming weeks.

XRP analysts explain why price drop below $1 ‘remains possible’

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Should the jobs report fall short of expectations, Bitcoin price could climb 
toward resistance. But without decisively reclaiming $72,000, any rally risks 
fading quickly.

Bitcoin price prediction ahead of U.S. jobs report: Volatility back in focus

After recovering from last week’s lows, XRP has been moving sideways, hovering 
between $1.40 and $1.45 during the past four days. As the price attempts to 
hold its local range lows, a market observer has affirmed that the 
cryptocurrency could be preparing for a potential recovery if its critical 
level holds. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See New Drop To $60,000 Despite 
Bounce – Here’s The Level To Defend XRP At Critical Inflection Point On 
Tuesday, crypto analyst ChartNerd highlighted XRP’s performance over the past 
six months, suggesting that the altcoin could be ‘Positioned for a Major 
Bullish Structure Shift.” He explained that the cryptocurrency has seen “6 
months of downside with virtually no relief,” while showing key signals, such 
as the MACD and RSI reaching historical oversold levels. Moreover, the analyst 
highlighted the simultaneous retests of the 50-Month Exponential Moving 
Average (EMA), a prior eight-year resistance line, and the Fibonacci demand 
zone. “This marks the first 50EMA backtest since November 2024, and doing so, 
we have a wick marked on the 0.618/0.5 FIB demand zone. A popular reversal 
pocket,” he noted. In a video analysis, ChartNerd also emphasized that XRP is 
currently at a “critical inflection point,” pointing to its 200-week EMA, a 
level that had not been tested since 2024 until now, and where the price is 
currently sitting. The analyst detailed that “this is one of the most 
important times for XRP because if it holds the line above this moving 
average, this could set the pace for new all-time highs and continuation of 
the trend to higher targets.” For his bullish case, he pointed out XRP’s 
2023-2024 performance, when it consolidated above the indicator and held it as 
support for over a year, leading to the breakout in November 2024. To him, the 
important part is to “hold the 200W EMA, defend it, and create a higher low 
base. This is where XRP could push to new all-time highs if it respects this 
long-term structure moving average.” Analyst Warns Of New 50% Correction The 
analyst also shared a bearish outlook for XRP, noting that losing the 200W EMA 
in the weekly timeframe and, more importantly, confirming it as resistance 
could signal a major drop ahead. Per ChartNerd’s analysis, if the altcoin 
starts closing below the 200W EMA, located around the $1.41 area, it risks 
descending toward the $0.70 mark. This is where the previous local highs that 
have not been retested since the late 2024 breakout are. He explained that in 
2022, after reaching a local high of around $1.97, XRP “came back down for a 
retest on its 200-week EMA. It then placed a lower high, lost the 200-week, 
and corrected even further to its bear market lows.” Related Reading: An 
‘Inverted Alt Season’? Analyst Explains How The Altcoins Market Has Changed In 
past cycles, when XRP failed to hold this critical inflection level, it 
entered a deep corrective period, crashing by around 50% toward the bear 
market bottom. “So technically speaking, if XRP lost right now, for example, 
the 200-week EMA and we crashed another sort of 49% roughly, you&#8217;re bringing 
XRP back down to 70, which is again those highs that I spoke about in the past 
that we haven&#8217;t actually back tested for support since breaking out,” he 
warned. As of this writing, XRP trades at $1.39, a 3% decline on the daily 
timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Cryptocurrency price in MXN