The interpretative notice included information on token taxonomy and what 
digital assets the regulator would consider a security under federal law.

SEC will consider most crypto assets not securities under federal law

A crypto analyst has identified an eight-year convergence pattern on the 
Ethereum (ETH)-Bitcoin (BTC) trading pair chart, suggesting it could signal 
the long-awaited onset of an altcoin season. Although rumors of an altcoin 
season have circulated in the crypto space since before 2025, such a phase has 
yet to materialize, underscoring the persistent volatility in alternative 
cryptocurrencies throughout this bull market. Despite this prolonged delay, 
the analyst argues that the new convergence structure could become a catalyst 
that fuels an altcoin season even more powerful than the one observed in 2021. 
Ethereum Chart Structure Signals Powerful Altcoin Season Crypto analyst CW has 
presented a new technical analysis suggesting a major altcoin season in this 
cycle. Supported by a multi-year chart structure, the analysis centers on the 
ETH/BTC trading pair and outlines a unique convergence pattern that has been 
developing since mid-2017. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Are 
Struggling Again, And Here’s What’s Behind It In his post on X, CW predicts 
that this convergence pattern could break during the current bull market 
cycle. The structure is visible on the weekly chart as a large descending 
triangle or wedge that started when ETH/BTC reached a peak around 0.16. Since 
that high, the pair has been compressing between a descending resistance line 
and a flat horizontal support level near the 0.020 zone. Price action in the 
chart shows that ETH/BTC hit this peak during the 2021 bull market but failed 
to break the upper descending trendline of the converging pattern. Following 
this, the pair dropped back sharply and has continued to trend lower, now 
pressing into the very tip of the convergence pattern near the 0.029 level. 
This suggests that ETH/BTC is approaching its final stage near the apex of the 
descending triangle pattern. The narrowing distance between the resistance and 
the support suggests the market could be at a critical juncture. CW suggests 
that a breakout from this point could end the trading pair’s eight-year 
compression within the convergence pattern. If this happens, it could signal a 
major shift in strength from BTC to ETH, and finally to the broader altcoin 
market, marking the potential onset of an altcoin season in 2026. 2026 Altcoin 
Season To Surpass 2021 Boom CW emphasized in his post that the altcoin season 
he anticipates in this bull cycle could exceed the strength of the 2021 cycle, 
mirroring the explosive scale of the 2017 cycle. He argued that many investors 
underestimate how powerful the 2017 bull run was, noting that it delivered 
wider, more aggressive gains across the altcoin market than the more selective 
rally in 2021. Related Reading: Is The Altcoin Market Dead? Why These 
Cryptocurrencies Have Failed To Move In a previous analysis, CW shared a 
separate chart from CryptoQuant, adding further weight to his outlook for a 
2026 altcoin season. The chart, which tracks the CEX volume ratio of non-BTC 
assets versus Bitcoin, excluding stablecoins, compares the current market 
setup to the 2021 altcoin season. In both periods, altcoin trading activity on 
centralized exchanges was consistently higher than Bitcoin’s volume. However, 
CW notes that this activity has been running for much longer in 2026 than in 
2021. He believes this sustained volume, coupled with a potential breakout 
from ETH/BTC’s current convergence pattern, strengthens the case of a powerful 
altcoin season in 2026. Featured image from Freepik, chart from 
Tradingview.com

The 8-Year Ethereum Convergence That Says An Altcoin Season Stronger Than 2021 Is Coming

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multi‑billion‑parameter AI models on consumer GPUs and flagship phones, 
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US stocks open higher as Dow jumps while crypto equities struggle for direction

Injective said on Tuesday that it plans to integrate USD Coin (USDC) and 
Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP), aiming to expand stablecoin 
liquidity and enable native cross-chain transfers on its blockchain. USDC on 
Injective Aims to Streamline Cross-Chain Crypto Payments According to the 
announcement, the integration would allow users and developers to move USDC 
between […]

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