Prominent analyst Darkfost shares that Bitcoin remains a long time away from 
establishing a new all-time high (ATH), despite an ongoing market correction 
that has lasted over five months. The market expert also discusses the role of 
halving events following a major cyclical change. Related Reading: Bitcoin 
Probes $73,000 Liquidity Pocket: Is The Next Leg Toward $80,000 Loading? 
Bitcoin In Early Stages Of Bear Market &#8211; Analyst On October 6, 2025, Bitcoin 
notably recorded its present ATH of $126,100. Since then, the leading 
cryptocurrency has experienced multiple significant price pullbacks, forming a 
bear market. According to Darkfost in an X post on March 14, this corrective 
phase has only lasted 159 days, which may appear longer to investors, 
especially considering the price swings recorded in this period. However, 
historical data suggests the current downturn may still be relatively early 
when compared to previous market cycles. Looking at the time intervals between 
earlier ATHs and the next cycle peaks indicates that Bitcoin typically takes 
several years to establish a new record high. For instance, during the 2017 
market cycle, it took 1,180 days for Bitcoin to reach a new ATH after the 
prior peak. In leading to the 2021 cycle all-time high, the market required 
1,093 days before another record high was recorded. In comparison, the most 
recent cycle in 2025 saw a shorter interval of 849 days before Bitcoin climbed 
to its latest peak. Despite these long recovery periods, one notable positive 
trend is that the time between new all-time highs appears to be gradually 
decreasing, suggesting Bitcoin is developing into a mature asset. Related 
Reading: Why The XRP Price Might Crash To $0.87 Before The Bear Market Ends 
Bitcoin Halvings And ATH Historically, the halving event has always been a 
forerunner to a new all-time high (ATH). However, the launch of the Bitcoin 
spot ETFs altered this arrangement during the 2025 cycle when Bitcoin rose 
above the 2021 ATH of $69,000 in March 2024, prior to the halving event in 
April 2024. Notably, Darkfost opines that the establishment of a new ATH has 
never depended on the Bitcoin halving, as he believes this event always 
occurred when the bear market had ended. Nevertheless, the halving event 
remains important to the Bitcoin market and ecosystem because it reduces 
mining rewards every four years. This is a key component of the Bitcoin system 
that allows the asset to continue to serve as a hedge against inflation, 
particularly against the consistent redistribution of profits by miners. At 
press time, Bitcoin trades at $71,429, reflecting a 6.91% gain in the past 
week. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin Historical Data Suggests New ATH Is Years Away – Analyst

Over the last day, Bitcoin prices have remained within the $70,000 &#8211; $72,000 
region, recording no significant movement. This market calmness comes after 
the premier cryptocurrency&#8217;s initial breakout above the $70,000 resistance 
during the past week, before prices retraced. With Bitcoin now sustaining a 
price move above the former $70,000 barrier, on-chain data has identified the 
multiple key levels that deserve investors’ attention in analyzing the next 
major price move. Related Reading: Bitcoin Probes $73,000 Liquidity Pocket: Is 
The Next Leg Toward $80,000 Loading? Bitcoin Bulls Eye Return To $95K Region, 
But Key Resistance Awaits In an X post on March 14, seasoned analyst Ali 
Martinez states that Bitcoin confronts a major price barrier at the $73,726 
price point, according to data from Glassnode&#8217;s MVRV Pricing Bands. For 
context, these bands represent a common valuation framework derived from the 
MVRV Ratio, and used to assess whether Bitcoin is undervalued, fairly valued, 
or overvalued relative to the cost basis (realized price) of investors. 
Notably, Bitcoin presently trades around $71,600 below the -0.5 band, a 
notable support level in bull markets, that presently aligns with the $73,726 
price level. According to Ali Martinez, if Bitcoin can decisively reclaim this 
level, it would boost bullish sentiments and potentially initiate a price 
surge to around $95,894, which currently represents the mean band and is 
considered the fair market value for Bitcoin. If market demand is sustained, 
Bitcoin could continuously rise to the +0.5 band at $118,062, which would 
represent a strong zone for bullish expansion. However, investors should start 
exhibiting caution once prices reach the +1.0 band at $140,229, which is 
considered an extreme overvaluation zone. At this point, Bitcoin is considered 
far above its fair value and realized price, triggering a high possibility of 
a pullback via profit-taking. On the other hand, a price rejection at $73,726 
could force a price drop to around the realized price at $54,703, representing 
a potential 25% decline. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst 
Shares How Painful Bear Markets Can Get Bitcoin Market Overview At press time, 
Bitcoin is valued at $71,626, following a minor 0.81% gain in the past 24 
hours. However, daily trading volume is also down by 59.36%, suggesting that 
market participation has recently declined. On the larger timeframes, weekly 
and monthly gains of 5.08% and 8.35%, respectively, indicate significant price 
gains in the last few weeks. Coupled with the revival of the Bitcoin spot ETFs 
market, the premier cryptocurrency may be gathering momentum for full-scale 
recovery. But it remains early to tell. Featured image from Unsplash, chart 
from Tradingview

Bitcoin MVRV Bands Reveal Crucial Price At $73,726 Level – Details

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