Bitcoin is trading at weekly RSI levels historically seen near bear market 
bottoms, signaling that selling pressure may be easing. While confirmation is 
needed, the market is in a zone often marking late-stage capitulation. The key 
question: was the recent drop the final flush, or is one last shakeout still 
ahead? RSI Compression Signals Downside Exhaustion According to crypto analyst 
Batman, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI has fallen back into the same territory that 
historically marked prior bear market bottoms. This momentum zone has 
repeatedly appeared during late-stage capitulation phases, making it a 
critical signal that the market could be nearing another major turning point. 
Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears Major Milestone As 100 BTC Wallets Approach 
Record Levels However, Batman is clear that this does not confirm the bottom 
is already in, stressing the importance of waiting for proper confirmation 
before declaring a reversal. Still, he notes that when RSI compresses to these 
levels on the weekly timeframe, Bitcoin has typically been much closer to a 
structural low than to the beginning of a fresh collapse. Reflecting on the 
2022 bear cycle, Batman points out that once RSI entered this extreme zone, 
price managed to print one final lower low. However, that move occurred very 
close to the ultimate bottom, indicating that most of the downside had already 
played out by the time momentum reached such depressed readings. The analyst 
concludes that probabilities matter more than precision. From his perspective, 
when Bitcoin trades at these weekly RSI levels, it historically represents a 
zone where strategic accumulation becomes increasingly attractive. Bitcoin&#8217;s 
Six Consecutive Weekly Lower Highs — A Rare Signal In a recent weekly Bitcoin 
analysis, SuperBro pointed out that BTC has now printed six consecutive weekly 
lower highs, a rare structural pattern. The last time this occurred was during 
the COVID crash in 2020, a period marked by extreme volatility and eventual 
macro reversal. Related Reading: Fidelity Thinks Bitcoin May Be Leaving Its 
80% Crashes Behind Price is currently slipping beneath the 200-week EMA and 
the volume Point of Control (POC), though the weekly candle has not yet 
closed. A reclaim of the POC before the close could trigger a sharp upside 
reaction and signal that the breakdown attempt is losing strength. Just below 
current levels sits the rising 200-week SMA, adding another layer of higher- 
timeframe support. RSI remains at extreme levels, suggesting that momentum is 
already deeply stretched. When you combine oversold conditions with six 
straight lower highs pressing into major support, the case for sustained 
downside continuation becomes less convincing. Beyond the near-term structure, 
the broader megaphone formation remains intact. If that macro pattern 
ultimately plays out, its upper trajectory projects potential targets north of 
$300,000, keeping the long-term expansion thesis firmly on the table despite 
current compression. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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