The Bitcoin price action has taken a grim tone this month as trading rolls 
toward what may become a fifth straight red monthly candle. According to 
CoinGlass, BTC is down roughly 15% this month after closing the previous four 
months lower, a run not seen since 2018. Related Reading: XRP On The Spotlight 
As Arizona Advances Landmark Digital Asset Bill Reports note that similar 
multimonth selloffs in the past were sometimes followed by sudden, strong 
rebounds, but those outcomes were not automatic. Traders are watching support 
near recent lows while sentiment indicators show rising caution among both 
retail and institutional players. Historical Streaks And Reversals Reports 
from Milk Road point to a striking example: after a long losing streak in 
2018/19, the market produced large gains in the months that followed. That 
episode is often referenced by bulls who argue that compressed prices can set 
the stage for big percentage moves to the upside. Yet context matters. Market 
cycles are messy, and raw percentage comparisons skip over differences in 
liquidity, participant mix, and macro settings. Source: CoinGlass Weekly And 
Quarterly Signals Weekly charts are shouting caution in some corners. Analyst 
Solana Sensei highlighted a run of red weekly candles that echoes parts of 
2022, when extended selling drove BTC to the mid-$20,000s. At the same time, 
quarterly data from the 2022 drawdown shows losses can stack up for long 
stretches, and those patterns were painful for holders who expected quick 
turns. Some analysts have argued that the current cycle looks different 
because the monthly RSI never saw the same overbought expansion that preceded 
some prior bear phases; their view suggests rebounds might not follow the old 
script. $BTC is looking to log its 5th red month. Last time this happened was 
in 2018/19 when we saw 6 red months. Silver lining: it led to a reversal w/ 
316% returns over the following 5 months. If history repeats &#8211; the reversal 
begins April 1st. Bookmark this. pic.twitter.com/IZwmdg0peV — Milk Road 
(@MilkRoad) February 18, 2026 Bitcoin Price Action The top crypto&#8217;s price 
movement has been mixed: thin sessions, sharp swings on headlines, muted 
volume between moves. The market has been both brittle and occasionally 
steady, depending on who is trading and where liquidity pools sit. Geopolitics 
And Market Mood Geopolitical flareups have acted as a volatility amplifier, 
and traders are pricing in headline risk more readily than before. Events tied 
to policies or public comments have dented confidence across risk assets. 
Related Reading: CEO Confirms Bitcoin Exposure, Says Bank Is Still Navigating 
US policy shifts and high-profile political statements — including ones linked 
to US President Donald Trump — are being watched for any spillover into dollar 
flows and investor risk tolerance. Thin market conditions can turn small news 
into big moves. That’s exactly what’s been happening on occasion over the last 
few weeks. Based on reports and the mix of indicators, a rebound in March or 
April is possible, but it cannot be counted on. Some traders will prepare for 
a quick bounce; others will keep dry powder and wait for clearer confirmation. 
Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s Record Red Month May Be Setting Up A Reversal: Analysts

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