Interest in XRP has increased massively after the launch of Spot XRP ETFs, 
leading some supporters to float a $100 per token rally before the end of the 
year. That scenario, however, appears highly unrealistic when basic market 
fundamentals are considered. In a recent post on X, Zach Humphries dismissed 
triple-digit predictions, calling them “delusional” and warning that they 
mislead people who don’t grasp the math behind market valuation. The Market 
Cap Reality Check Any attempt to peg XRP at $100 must first contend with its 
circulating supply and the resulting total valuation that such a price 
implies. According to Humphries, pushing XRP to $100 would demand a market 
capitalization of about $6 trillion for the cryptocurrency. That figure 
amounts to a more than 40-fold increase over current market cap levels, a leap 
so vast it would require inflows that dwarf anything seen in the crypto 
industry to date. Related Reading: The Bull And Bear Scenario For XRP That 
Could Play Out In November The entire crypto market itself has a total 
capitalization of about $3 trillion. Pushing a single altcoin like XRP to $6 
trillion in value would mean the coin alone becomes more than twice as large 
as the entire crypto market combined. XRP reaching $100 is a 4,445% increase 
from its current price level. Keeping this in mind, it is really unrealistic 
for XRP to reach $100 even in the next year alone. Therefore, those making 
claims that the asset can touch $100 before 2025 ends, with only one month 
left on the calendar, disregard how capital moves, how long accumulation 
cycles take, and how much work is involved in building market caps of this 
size. The recent emergence of XRP ETFs does offer improved access for 
institutional and retail investors. However, the expansion needed for XRP to 
reach $100 is so large that no ETF launch or last-minute rally could generate 
the necessary inflows or supply shock within the next 35 days. Long-Term 
Potential Still Exists Although the $100 target within the next few weeks 
appears unattainable, that does not necessarily diminish the long-term appeal 
of XRP. Enthusiasts who see effects from adoption, regulatory developments, 
and institutional inflows may still believe in significant upside over a 
multi-year timeframe. Zach Humpries, for one, noted that he is still very 
bullish on Ripple/XRP long-term. Related Reading: Pundit Reveals Why XRP Price 
At $1,000 Is Not A Dream – ‘It’s Math’ The purpose of Humphries&#8217; warning 
message was to restore perspective, not dampen long-term bullish sentiment. 
The important message is for XRP enthusiasts to shift their focus away from 
unrealistic valuations this year and instead consider targets that align with 
actual market cap growth. In a follow-up reply to comments on his post, he 
mentioned a far more grounded scenario of XRP reaching the $5 region by 
Christmas. However, this is also very bullish and is dependent on optimism 
returning to the wider crypto market. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart 
from Tradingview.com

Why XRP Will Not Reach $100 By End Of Year Despite ETF Launch

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