Chris Burniske, cofounder of Placeholder VC and former crypto lead at Ark 
Invest, is mapping out where he would consider stepping back into Bitcoin if 
the market keeps sliding, after earning fresh credit on X for calling major 
turning points this cycle. His framework lands in the mid-$80,000s down to the 
low-$50,000s, while a separate technical view from analyst Aksel Kibar points 
to a broader “base building” process with support clustered in the 
mid-$70,000s. Price Levels Where To Buy Bitcoin Burniske wrote that he is “not 
a buyer yet,” but outlined several price areas he’s monitoring. In his view, 
roughly $80,000 matters as the November 2025 low and a local trough of the 
current downswing. Below that, he highlighted roughly $74,000, tying it to the 
April 2025 low and describing it as the “Tariff Tantrum” bottom; he also noted 
it sits just under Strategy’s (MSTR) stated Bitcoin cost basis of around 
$76,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Demand Hits Extreme Levels As Next 
Rally Loads Up He then pointed to around $70,000 as the top of the prior 
$50,000–$70,000 band near the 2021 high, before shifting to a more structural 
level near $58,000. That zone, he wrote, aligns with the 200-week simple 
moving average and an on-chain cost basis, with RV around $56,000. Finally, he 
flagged $50,000 and below as a psychological line, arguing that a break under 
it would likely revive “death of BTC” narratives. I&#8217;m not a buyer yet, but if 
I were to be a buyer, imo the areas to watch for $BTC are: ~$80K: Nov &#8217;25 low, 
local low of this &#8220;bear&#8221; ~$74K: April &#8217;25 low, Tariff Tantrum low, just below 
$MSTR&#8217;s cost basis (~$76K) ~$70K: Top of $50-70K range, near &#8217;21 high ~$58K: 
200W SMA &amp;… — Chris Burniske (@cburniske) January 25, 2026 Burniske’s posture 
is deliberately non-committal on timing. “Importantly, I don’t care what 
happens,” he wrote, adding that if Bitcoin rallies he will “ride what I have 
and diversify,” while a deeper unwind would have him buying more Bitcoin and 
“select crypto assets.” The thread also touched altcoins. Asked how he thinks 
about alts versus Bitcoin, Burniske said it’s “best imo to buy alts after you 
think btc is near bottom,” reinforcing that he’s treating BTC’s downside 
process as the key gating factor for broader risk-taking. On positioning, he 
said he is sitting “in treasuries, where yield &gt; inflation,” and when asked 
about an upside level that would force him back in, he replied that he 
“wouldn’t chase,” preferring to hold existing exposure rather than re-risk at 
higher prices. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck In Bear Mode For 83 Days: Trend 
Pulse Confirms Structural Weakness Burniske’s renewed attention followed 
praise from Anthony Pompliano, who told him: “You nailed the SOL bottom and 
the BTC top over this cycle.” Burniske’s reputation for calling tops is partly 
tied to an October 2025 post in which he argued the market had likely been 
structurally damaged after a sharp selloff. “We can always get another weak 
bounce, but I’ve taken action accordingly,” he wrote at the time. “I’ll likely 
get interested in the market again when I see BTC $75K or lower.” Breakdown Or 
Bottoming Phase? Separately, veteran technician Aksel Kibar posted a BTCUSD 
daily chart on Sunday without additional commentary. When asked directly about 
a breakout or breakdown, Kibar cautioned against overweighting diagonal 
formations: “Not giving too much weight to diagonal short-term patterns 
breakout/breakdown. I think this is part of the base building, searching for a 
bottom.” Kibar had previously framed “technical support” as being “lower 
between 73.7K and 76.5K,” suggesting that if Bitcoin is indeed in a basing 
phase, the market may need time and repeated tests of those lower bands before 
a more durable trend reasserts itself. At press time, BTC traded at $87,812. 
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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