More than 80% of 2025 token launches trade below listing price while IPO 
funding and M&amp;A in the crypto sector surge, suggesting that investors prefer 
equity exposure.

Crypto capital rotates from tokens to stocks as new launches struggle: DWF

Voltage has launched Voltage Credit, a revolving line of credit that allows 
businesses to settle payments instantly via the Lightning Network while 
repaying in U.S. Dollars. Bitcoin infrastructure provider Voltage introduced 
Voltage Credit. The platform enables enterprises to tap into a revolving 
credit line to send payments that clear in seconds via the Lightning Network 
[…]

Voltage Debuts Programmatic Revolving Credit Line for Lightning Network Payments

Welcome to Latam Insights, a compilation of the most relevant crypto news from 
Latin America over the past week. In this edition, El Salvador defends its 
continuous bitcoin purchases, Prospera faces an uncertain future in Honduras, 
and Argentina facilitates “mattress money” investments in crypto assets. ‘Not 
A Stock:’ El Salvador Defends Bitcoin Purchases Amid Market […]

Latam Insights: El Salvador Defends Its Bitcoin Strategy, Prospera Faces an Uncertain Future

OpenClaw creator Peter Steinberger confirmed that users can be removed for 
mentioning Bitcoin and crypto on Discord.

AI agent OpenClaw confirms ban on Bitcoin, crypto discussions in Discord

A modest claim. A bold number. Both are on the table for Bitcoin this week as 
a debate over how to read short-term streaks in price gains grows louder. 
Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Bleeds $1 Trillion, Saylor Signals Strongest 
Crypto Conviction Yet Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has pointed out that 
half of the last 24 months showed positive returns. Based on reports, he then 
gave a nearly 90% chance that Bitcoin would be higher in 10 months. That leap 
from a simple count to a firm probability is the headline grabber. It should 
be met with careful questions about how the odds were calculated and what 
assumptions were built into the model. Counting Positive Months Peterson based 
his view on a review of monthly performance data. Figures compiled by 
CoinGlass show that Bitcoin closed six months of 2025 in positive territory, 
while the remaining six finished lower. According to the data, 50% of the past 
24 months ended with gains. Peterson said he tracks this rolling two-year 
window to spot potential turning points in price trends. 50% of the past 24 
months have been positive. This implies a 88% chance that Bitcoin will be 
higher 10 months from now. The average return is exp(60%)-1 = 82% =&gt; $122,000. 
Data goes back to 2011. https://t.co/k4IjTisuTH pic.twitter.com/ZxfTyequjt — 
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) February 21, 2026 Market Odds And Betting An 
exchange of bets shows a very different view. Polymarket currently prices 
December as only a 17% shot at being the best month of 2026, with November a 
hair higher. Those numbers answer a different question from Peterson’s: they 
reflect market bets on which month will outperform others, not whether the 
price will simply be higher at a future date. Betting markets can be blunt 
tools, but they do pack the collective view of many traders into a single 
number. Bitcoin Price Action Price has not been calm. Bitcoin traded in a 
roughly $67,000–$68,000 band this week as geopolitical tension in the Middle 
East tightened. Safe-haven assets like gold and oil jumped on news flows, and 
Bitcoin felt the squeeze as some buyers stepped back. At the same time, live 
tickers showed the token about 20% below its level at the start of the year, a 
reminder that headline percentages hide wide intraday swings. Analysts Are 
Split Voices from the trading desk are divided. Michael van de Poppe suggested 
near-term green candles could be coming, urging traders to watch for a lift. 
On the other hand, Peter Brandt has argued a deeper low may not arrive until 
late 2026. Both views rest on different sets of signals — one on momentum and 
chart structure, the other on longer cycle patterns and risk of macro shocks. 
Sentiment Still Down Meanwhile, flow data from spot ETF purchases, derivatives 
positioning, and on-chain liquidity figures would add weight to any forecast. 
Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than 
Bitcoin? Peterson’s forecast comes as crypto market sentiment continues to 
decline, with reports noting that discussion and activity around Bitcoin 
predictions have slowed. Traders appear cautious, weighing past trends against 
current uncertainty in the market. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from 
TradingView

Cryptocurrency price in BRL