Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $67,000. BTC is now consolidating 
below $68,500 and might struggle to continue higher. Bitcoin started a 
recovery wave above $67,000 and $67,500. The price is trading above $67,500 
and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish 
trend line with resistance at $67,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair 
(data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline if it stays 
below the $68,500 and $68,800 levels. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin 
price extended losses and tested the $65,000 zone. BTC formed a base above 
$65,000 and recently started an upside correction above $66,000. The price 
climbed above the $67,000 resistance zone. There was a break above a bearish 
trend line with resistance at $67,350 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. 
The bulls even cleared the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move 
from the $71,985 swing high to the $65,030 low. Bitcoin is now trading above 
$67,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable 
above $67,200, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near 
the $68,500 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from 
the $71,985 swing high to the $65,030 low. The first key resistance is near 
the $68,800 level. A close above the $68,800 resistance might send the price 
further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $69,250 
resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $69,500 level. The 
next barrier for the bulls could be $70,000. Another Decline In BTC? If 
Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,500 resistance zone, it could start 
another decline. Immediate support is near the $67,200 level. The first major 
support is near the $67,000 level. The next support is now near the $66,200 
zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $65,500 support in the 
near term. The main support now sits at $65,000, below which BTC might 
struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The 
MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength 
Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – 
$67,000, followed by $65,000. Major Resistance Levels – $68,500 and $68,800.

Bitcoin Price Rebounds, But Weak Momentum Caps Further Gains

The crypto market has been under pressure for months. The selling has been 
relentless. And the world outside the chart is not making it easier. Top 
analyst Darkfost has published an assessment that places the current market 
environment in its full context: the geopolitical situation is deteriorating, 
not stabilizing. Despite announcements from the Trump administration 
suggesting a path toward de-escalation, the attacks and bombings have not 
stopped. The conflict is escalating. The consequences are spreading across 
every asset class without exception. Related Reading: An XRP Key Indicator 
Just Flipped Bullish — and Most Traders Are Not Watching It The damage is not 
limited to crypto. The 60-40 portfolio — the stocks-and-bonds allocation that 
has defined institutional risk management for decades and survived every major 
market stress of the past thirty years — is experiencing its worst performance 
since 2022. When the most robust mainstream strategy is breaking down, the 
environment for risk assets is not merely difficult. It is structurally 
hostile. Crypto has not been spared. But Darkfost notes something that the 
headlines are missing: relative to the scale of the macro dislocation, the 
crypto market has shown a degree of resilience over recent weeks that deserves 
attention rather than dismissal. That resilience is not a recovery. It is a 
signal worth watching in a market where most signals have been pointing in one 
direction for months. The Bleeding on Binance Has Stopped. What Comes Next Is 
the Question Darkfost&#8217;s on-chain data introduces the first constructive 
development in weeks. Amid the macro pressure and the sustained selling 
environment, Binance — the platform recording the highest trading volumes 
globally — is showing a clear increase in stablecoin inflows. The shift is 
measurable, dateable, and significant enough to warrant serious attention. The 
historical contrast makes the current reading more meaningful. On December 11, 
Binance recorded net stablecoin outflows of -$3.4 billion — capital leaving, 
liquidity contracting, the market voting with its feet. On February 15, that 
figure deteriorated further to -$6.7 billion, the largest single outflow 
reading in the period under review. Those two dates marked the depths of 
investor withdrawal from the platform. Today, the stablecoin netflow on 
Binance stands at +$2.4 billion. The direction has reversed. Capital that was 
leaving is now entering. The $9.1 billion swing from the February low to the 
current reading is not a footnote — it is the largest behavioral shift visible 
in the flow data this quarter. Darkfost&#8217;s qualification is precise and should 
not be dismissed: the signal is encouraging, but it needs to hold and build. A 
single positive reading is a data point. A sustained trend is a signal. The 
difference between the two is what the next several sessions will determine. 
Related Reading: Crypto Market Open Interest Hits $30 Billion, Highest Since 
January: Leverage Returns To The Market The Entire Crypto Bull Run Is Being 
Weighed Against a Single Support Level The total crypto market cap stands at 
$2.3 trillion, up 1.85% on the week — a candle that opened at $2.26 trillion, 
reached $2.32 trillion, and is holding above the week&#8217;s low of $2.25 trillion. 
The green candle is real. The context surrounding it is sobering. The macro 
picture requires no interpretation. Total market cap peaked near $4.05 
trillion in January 2026 — the highest level in crypto&#8217;s history — and has 
retraced 43% over three months, erasing the entirety of the second half of 
2025&#8217;s advance. The speed of that decline is as significant as its magnitude: 
what took eighteen months to build was unwound in twelve weeks. Related 
Reading: $2.3 Billion Ethereum Has Left OKX And Binance This Quarter: The 
Sell-Side Supply Is Thinning The weekly moving average structure tells the 
most important structural story visible on this chart. Price has broken below 
the 50-week MA and is now testing the 100-week MA — the green line, currently 
ascending through the $2.85–$2.9 trillion region — from well below it, having 
failed to reclaim it in recent weeks. Both the 50-week and 100-week MAs are 
now turning lower. The 200-week MA continues its long-term ascent near $2.1 
trillion — the last structural support this chart offers and the level that 
has never been violated since 2023. Current level at $2.3 trillion sits in the 
gap between the 200-week MA below and the 100-week MA above. Reclaiming $2.85 
trillion is the minimum requirement for any credible recovery argument. Until 
that level is reclaimed on a weekly close, the market remains in a confirmed 
downtrend on its most reliable long-term timeframe. Featured image from 
ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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