Market expert Sam Daodu has released a new April outlook for Bitcoin (BTC), 
flagging geopolitical developments and macroeconomic forces as the decisive 
factors for where prices may go next. Daodu’s note comes after Bitcoin ran 
into resistance just above roughly $72,000 and amid a market environment that 
has produced the asset’s first consecutive quarterly losses since 2022. 
Bitcoin Faces Unusual April Daodu pointed to Bitcoin’s historical tendency to 
finish April in the black: since 2013, the token has closed the month higher 
nine times out of 13, a 69% win rate. On paper, April looks generous — the 
average return sits at 10.7% — but that mean is skewed by a handful of 
outsized years (2013, 2018, 2019, and 2020), each with gains above 28%. Strip 
out those extreme outliers, and the average April return falls to a subdued 
0.7%. More representative measures show Bitcoin’s median April gain at 7.1%, 
with the best April on record in 2013 (+36.8%) and the worst in 2022 (−17.2%). 
These historical ranges, Daodu says, demonstrate how much April outcomes 
depend on the broader macro backdrop. Related Reading: Adam Back Denies Being 
Bitcoin Creator In Response To NYT: ‘I Am Not Satoshi’ What makes April 2026 
unusual, Daodu argues, is the dominance of external macro and geopolitical 
drivers that were largely absent in prior years. The ongoing US–Iran conflict 
has kept oil prices elevated — above $100 since early March — and the Federal 
Reserve (Fed) has revised its 2026 inflation forecast upward to 2.7%. Those 
developments have knocked back expectations for near‑term rate cuts and left 
markets braced for higher rates into the second quarter. Taken together, 
tighter liquidity and heightened geopolitical risk create a tougher 
environment for risk assets, including BTC. Under these conditions, Daodu 
warns, the usual early‑April dip and subsequent rebound are no longer assured. 
Rather, three key elements will determine Bitcoin&#8217;s future. Whether oil drops 
below $90 per barrel, whether monetary expectations ease, and whether the US- 
Iran ceasefire persists and leads to a lasting deal. Three Possible Paths 
Daodu lays out three price scenarios to quantify how those outcomes could play 
out. In his bullish case, a genuine ceasefire coupled with oil prices falling 
below $90 would significantly relieve macro pressure. That relief, he says, 
could allow Bitcoin to clear resistance above $75,000 and propel a run toward 
$80,000. Progress on the CLARITY Act — legislative movement expected to be 
marked up in late April — would add fuel to that rally by improving regulatory 
clarity for digital assets. Related Reading: JPMorgan CEO Says Bank Must Build 
Its Own Blockchain To Counter Crypto Threats His base case envisions a more 
muted month. Persistent tax‑related selling in early April could cap gains and 
keep BTC trading between about $68,000 and $76,000. Without a clear catalyst, 
such as an end to the conflict, Bitcoin would likely consolidate in that band. 
The bearish scenario involves a breakdown of the ceasefire and renewed 
escalation. In that event, Daodu says Bitcoin could lose its nearby support 
around $69,000, trigger liquidations of leveraged positions, and see 
short‑term holders exit. That pressure could send BTC toward $65,000 or lower; 
the expert notes that Standard Chartered has warned of a deeper slump toward 
$50,000 if macro conditions deteriorate substantially. Featured image from 
OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Expert Forecasts Bitcoin Surge To $80,000 Amid US-Iran Ceasefire And Oil Price Drop

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According to reports, over 100,000 jobs have already been replaced, at least 
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with half of the population feeling more concerned than excited about the 
increased use of this tech. Key Takeaways: After 110,348 jobs lost to AI since 
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Americans Get Wary as AI Layoffs Surpass 100K

XRP price started a recovery wave above $1.3380 and $1.340. The price is now 
consolidating and might aim for a fresh move above $1.3550. XRP price started 
a recovery wave above the $1.340 zone. The price is now trading above $1.3380 
and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line 
forming with resistance at $1.3550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair 
(data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles 
above $1.360. XRP Price Holds Support XRP price remained supported above 
$1.3220 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was 
able to climb above $1.3350 and $1.340 to enter a short-term positive zone. 
There was also a move above the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward 
move from the $1.3963 swing high to the $1.3222 swing low. However, the bears 
are active near the $1.350 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line 
forming with resistance at $1.3550 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. 
The price is now trading above $1.340 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving 
Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near 
the $1.3550 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the 
$1.360 level. A close above $1.360 could send the price to $1.3680 or the 
61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.3963 swing high 
to the $1.3222 swing low. The next hurdle sits at $1.380. A clear move above 
the $1.380 resistance might send the price toward the $1.3880 resistance. Any 
more gains might send the price toward the $1.40 resistance. Another Drop? If 
XRP fails to clear the $1.3550 resistance zone, it could start a fresh 
decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3380 level. The next 
major support is near the $1.3220 level. If there is a downside break and a 
close below the $1.3220 level, the price might continue to decline toward 
$1.3120. The next major support sits near the $1.280 zone, below which the 
price could continue lower toward $1.2650. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – 
The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI 
(Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. 
Major Support Levels – $1.3380 and $1.3220. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3550 
and $1.3680.

XRP Price Pressures Resistance, Bulls Eye Upside Break

A dispute over stablecoin rewards — not sweeping disagreements about crypto 
itself — is what&#8217;s holding up one of the most significant digital asset bills 
in US history. Related Reading: XRP Faces No Immediate Quantum Threat As Only 
0.03% Supply Seen At Risk: Analyst Banks And Crypto Firms Clash Over 
Stablecoin Yields At the center of the standoff is a narrow but contentious 
question: should third-party firms like Coinbase be allowed to pass stablecoin 
yields on to their customers? Banks say no, warning it could drain deposits 
from traditional financial institutions. Crypto companies say yes, arguing 
it&#8217;s essential to staying competitive. That single point of friction has 
stalled the CLARITY Act in the Senate for months, even as the Trump 
administration pushes hard for a vote. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent went 
public Tuesday with a blunt message — Congress needs to move now, before 
Senate floor time runs out. According to reports, Bessent described the 
situation as urgent, saying &#8220;time is scarce, and now is the time to act.&#8221; He 
framed the legislation not just as a financial policy matter but as a national 
security concern, arguing that economic security and national security are one 
and the same. The U.S. Treasury Secretary is weighing in on the push to pass 
crypto market structure legislation in a new @WSJ op-ed.@SecScottBessent 
framed it as a national priority, saying “economic security is national 
security,” and argued the Clarity Act is the cornerstone to bringing… — 
Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) April 9, 2026 Adoption Numbers Add Weight To 
The Push The case for urgency isn&#8217;t just political. Data shows that roughly 
one in six Americans already holds some form of digital asset. Major banks and 
financial institutions have either launched crypto-related products or applied 
to do so. Blockchain technology, according to Bessent, has worked its way into 
payments, settlements, and the trading of real-world assets at a scale that 
regulators can no longer ignore. The global crypto market swung between $2 
trillion and $3 trillion in value over the past year alone — a range that 
reflects both the size and the volatility of the industry. That backdrop gives 
the push for a regulatory framework added weight, especially as traditional 
finance continues to wade deeper into the space. Senator Cynthia Lummis joined 
Bessent&#8217;s call, saying the conditions for passing the CLARITY Act are as good 
as they&#8217;ve ever been. &#8220;We have the administration, the momentum, and we&#8217;ve 
made bipartisan progress,&#8221; she said. A Senate markup of the bill is expected 
sometime in April, though similar deadlines have slipped before. Related 
Reading: Bitcoin Faces Quantum Risk As Bernstein Sees 3–5 Year Window For 
Upgrades White House Study Adds Fuel To Banking Debate A White House analysis 
recently found that the risk of deposit flight from allowing stablecoin 
rewards is, by its own description, &#8220;quantitatively small.&#8221; Under the GENIUS 
Act framework, stablecoin issuers are barred from paying yields directly. The 
CLARITY Act, however, would open the door for third-party distributors to do 
it instead. Some banking members pushed back on the White House findings, 
arguing the analysis overlooked key funding risks beyond deposit levels. 
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Cryptocurrency price in ARS