As the year draws to a close, XRP investors are increasingly adopting a 
bearish outlook, anticipating that the altcoin will remain below the critical 
$2 threshold. XRP Forecasts Dipped A recent poll conducted by cryptocurrency 
exchange Gemini, running from December 12 to 23, reveals that 73% of investors 
predict XRP will finish the year between $1.50 and $2.00, suggesting a muted 
conclusion for the altcoin&#8217;s performance in 2025. Just weeks prior, market 
sentiment was more optimistic, with around 38% of traders expecting XRP to 
rally to a range of $2.00 to $2.50 by December 31. However, that figure has 
since dropped to 28%, reflecting a significant decline in confidence. Related 
Reading: Bitcoin Correction Timeline: Analyst Predicts Potential Bottom In 
October 2026 The possibility of the cryptocurrency exceeding $2.50 appears 
almost non-existent, as only about 4% of respondents foresee it reaching the 
$2.50 to $3.00 range, and a similar 4% predict it could surpass $3.00. The 
consensus of 73% predicting an XRP finish between $1.50 and $2.00 marks an 
increase from the 63% recorded earlier in the poll. This growing alignment 
among poll participants indicates that they are consolidating around this 
range as the most likely scenario. Furthermore, the sentiment towards higher 
price levels has significantly shifted. The percentage of voters anticipating 
a rally into the mid-$2 range has dwindled to a mere 4%, reflecting dwindling 
confidence after several failed attempts to break through resistance levels. 
Even the outlook for the altcoin’s price to drop below $1.50 has risen 
slightly to 7%, up from 6%, although most believe a sharp sell-off is 
unlikely. Rising Supply From Early Investors This prevailing sentiment aligns 
with Futures data indicating a prevalence of aggressive sell orders, while the 
slow accumulation of XRP in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) at a pace of $30 to 
$50 million daily cannot keep up with profit-taking and risk reduction 
activities in the market. On-chain data reveals that significant realized 
gains have been secured as XRP approached its recent highs. For instance, a 
long-term holder who initially acquired the altcoin around $0.40 sold over 350 
million tokens at approximately $2.00, reaping an estimated profit of $721 
million. Related Reading: Ethereum Fails To Surpass $3,000: Predictions For 
The Final Days Of The Year With many early investors reportedly cashing out at 
the $2 level, there has been minimal support for dip-buying to bolster the 
price, keeping it in the current range between $1.7 and $1.8 recorded in the 
week. Experts suggest that when the supply increases from long-term holders, 
whose initial investments were made at $0.40 to $0.60, it creates a resistance 
ceiling that is challenging to break without substantial new demand entering 
the market. At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.830. The altcoin has 
recorded major losses in all time frames, with a year-to-date decline of 15%, 
in line with the broader market&#8217;s performance. Featured image from DALL-E, 
chart from TradingView.com

Gemini Poll Finds Over 70% Of Investors Predict XRP Below $2 By Year’s End

Coinbase Institutional’s 2026 Crypto Market Outlook frames the industry at a 
pivotal transition, with policy clarity, institutional participation, and 
infrastructure convergence positioning digital assets to integrate deeper into 
the financial core over the coming year. Coinbase 2026 Crypto Market Outlook 
Sees Regulatory Clarity Reshaping Institutional Strategy, Risk, and Compliance 
Coinbase Institutional, the research arm of […]

Coinbase 2026 Outlook Sees Crypto Entering Finance Core in ‘Extraordinary and Transformative’ Shift

On-chain data shows a chunk of the Bitcoin supply has its cost basis above the current spot price, which could potentially shape volatility if BTC rebounds. Bitcoin Supply Overhang Could Dictate Volatility &amp; Selling Pressure As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a new post on X, over 6.6 million BTC is being held above the latest spot price of the cryptocurrency. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the &#8220;Supply In Loss,&#8221; which measures, as its name suggests, the total amount of Bitcoin that&#8217;s currently carrying some net unrealized loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Extreme Fear Streak Extends To 13 Days On Christmas The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token in circulation to determine the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. If this previous transfer price was more than the current spot price for any coin, then that particular token is considered to be in a state of loss. The Supply In Loss adds up all coins fulfilling this condition to find the total situation on the network. A counterpart indicator called the Supply In Profit accounts for the supply of the opposite type. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Supply In Loss over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Supply In Loss shrunk to a value of zero as the asset&#8217;s price set its all-time high (ATH) above $126,000 back in October, but with the market downturn that has followed since then, the indicator&#8217;s value has shot up. Today, around 6.6 million tokens of the cryptocurrency sit below cost basis, equivalent to a third of the BTC supply in circulation. The recent highs in the Supply In Loss represent the highest degree of pain in the market since 2023. In another X post, the analyst has shared the chart for another Bitcoin indicator, this one called the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD). The URPD contains information about how much BTC was bought last at each of the levels that the asset has visited in its history. Looks like a significant portion of the supply sits above the spot price | Source: @JA_Maartun on X From the chart of the URPD, it&#8217;s visible how the Bitcoin supply that&#8217;s in loss is distributed across the various levels right now. A few levels are particularly prominent in the degree of supply that they carry, while some others are notably thin with coins. Generally, investors who are in loss look forward to a retest of their cost basis so that they can get their money &#8220;back.&#8221; Once this happens, some of these hands decide to exit, fearing that BTC will go down again in the near future. This selling can make large supply clusters above the spot price, potential points of volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Trading Near ‘Fair Value,’ Says On-Chain Model Considering that a large portion of the supply is underwater right now, a venture back to higher levels could be met with selling pressure for Bitcoin. BTC Price Bitcoin has made some recovery during the past day as its price has returned to $88,600. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Supply Overhang: 6.6 Million BTC Bought Above Current Price

A surge in stablecoins, tokenized RWAs and growing sovereign wealth fund 
interest could drive a major increase in Ethereum’s TVL in 2026, Sharplink’s 
co-CEO said.

Ethereum’s TVL could skyrocket ’10X’ in 2026: Sharplink CEO

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said a former customer service agent was arrested 
in India, months after hackers bribed support staff to gain access to 
sensitive customer information at the largest U.S.-based crypto exchange.

Cryptocurrency price in ARS