XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.5320. The price is now 
attempting to recover but faces hurdles near $1.6250 and $1.650. XRP price 
started a recovery wave from the $1.5250 zone. The price is now trading below 
$1.6220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend 
line forming with resistance at $1.6250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD 
pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it 
stays below $1.6350. XRP Price Recovery Faces Hurdles XRP price failed to stay 
above $1.550 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price 
declined below $1.5250 and $1.520 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The 
price even spiked below $1.5120. A low was formed at $1.50, and the price is 
now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $1.550 level. The price 
already attempted to settle above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the 
downward move from the $1.93 swing high to the $1.50 low but failed. The price 
is now trading below $1.6220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If 
there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.6220 
level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 
$1.6250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is 
near the $1.650 level. A close above $1.650 could send the price to $1.7190 or 
the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.93 swing high 
to the $1.50 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.770. A clear move above the 
$1.770 resistance might send the price toward the $1.80 resistance. Any more 
gains might send the price toward the $1.8250 resistance. The next major 
hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.850. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear 
the $1.6250 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support 
on the downside is near the $1.550 level. The next major support is near the 
$1.5250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.5250 
level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.50. The next major 
support sits near the $1.4650 zone, below which the price could continue lower 
toward $1.450. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now 
losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The 
RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.550 and 
$1.5250. Major Resistance Levels – $1.6250 and $1.650.

XRP Price Recovery Mode Engaged — Bulls Hunt An Upside Break

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Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $80,000 level after several days of 
sustained selling pressure and heightened market uncertainty. Price action 
remains fragile, with each rebound attempt failing to attract strong follow- 
through, reinforcing concerns that the market is still digesting a broader 
structural shift rather than a short-term correction. According to top analyst 
Axel Adler, Bitcoin entered a bear cycle in October 2025 and is now moving 
through a correction phase following the local peak near $125,000. Related 
Reading: Ethereum Experiences Broad Long Squeeze Across Derivatives Exchanges: 
Can Bulls Hold $2,300? On-chain data supports this interpretation. Two key 
indicators — Percent Unrealised Loss and the LTH/STH SOPR Ratio — point to 
mounting stress across the holder base, but without the hallmarks of full 
capitulation. Unrealised losses have risen sharply, tripling since January 
from roughly 7% to around 22% as prices declined from $95,000 to near $78,000. 
While this increase signals growing discomfort among investors, it remains 
well below the 40–60% levels historically associated with deep bear-market 
capitulation in 2019 and 2023. At the same time, the LTH/STH SOPR Ratio has 
dropped around 40% from its peaks, indicating compressed profitability and 
reduced willingness to sell at a loss, particularly among longer-term holders. 
Together, these signals suggest Bitcoin is in a mid-cycle stress phase: 
pressure is building, confidence is weakening, but widespread forced selling 
has not yet emerged. Profit Compression Without Capitulation Signals Adler 
also highlights the behavior of the Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR Ratio as a critical 
lens for understanding the current market phase. This metric compares the 
profitability of coins being spent by long-term holders (LTH) versus short- 
term holders (STH), offering insight into who is absorbing losses and who is 
still distributing coins at a profit. High readings indicate that long-term 
holders are realizing profits far more efficiently than short-term 
participants, while lower values imply growing loss realization among newer 
entrants. Since peaking near 1.85 in October, the LTH/STH SOPR Ratio has 
fallen to around 1.13, representing a decline of roughly 40%. This sharp 
compression reflects a clear deterioration in profitability across the market. 
However, the indicator remains above the critical 1.0 threshold. Historically, 
sustained moves below 1.0 have marked periods where short-term holders 
capitulate en masse, selling at significant losses. Deeper drops into the 
0.6–0.8 range coincided with full capitulation and cycle lows in 2015, 2019, 
and 2023. At the current level, profit margins are tightening for both 
cohorts, but long-term holders are still, on average, exiting positions above 
cost. Adler notes that a decisive break below 1.0 would signal a transition 
into true capitulation, while a recovery toward 1.3–1.4 would indicate renewed 
confidence. Taken together with rising unrealised losses, the data points to a 
mid-cycle stress phase rather than a terminal bear-market bottom. Related 
Reading: Bitcoin Miner Fees Remain Near Cycle Lows: What Does This Signal? 
Bitcoin Stabilizes After Sharp Sell-Off Bitcoin price action on the 12-hour 
chart reflects a market still under structural pressure. Despite a short-term 
stabilization attempt around the $78,000 zone. After an aggressive sell-off 
from the mid-$90,000s, BTC broke decisively below multiple key moving 
averages. This confirms a broader bearish regime rather than a simple 
pullback. The sharp downside impulse was accompanied by a notable spike in 
volume. Signaling forced selling and liquidation-driven flows rather than 
orderly profit-taking. Since tagging the local low near $78,000, the price has 
attempted a modest rebound. However, this bounce remains technically weak. 
Bitcoin continues to trade below the short-term and medium-term moving 
averages. Which are now sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. 
Previous support in the $88,000–$90,000 region has clearly flipped into a 
supply zone. Capping upside attempts and reinforcing the idea of a range 
forming beneath a broken structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market 
Signal Emerges: Supply in Loss Rises Above 40% The current consolidation 
appears more consistent with a relief pause than a trend reversal. Momentum 
has slowed, but there is no evidence yet of sustained bid absorption or 
higher-timeframe demand stepping in. As long as BTC remains below the 
descending moving averages, downside risks persist. The price is vulnerable to 
renewed tests of the recent lows. Reclaiming and holding above the 
$82,000–$85,000 area would be required to signal a meaningful shift in short- 
term structure. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin Unrealized Losses Reach 22% – Still No Capitulation Phase

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Cryptocurrency price in ARS